NFL Week 2 Betting Recap

– Last week the Vikings moved from +3 to +6 at 5Dimes following news of Adrian Peterson’s deactivation. It was also interesting to see sharp sportsbooks (i.e. Pinnacle) post New England -5 while square sportsbooks (i.e. Sportsbook.com) posted -7.

– Last weekend’s most popular NFL parlay bets:

  1. Denver Broncos 86%
  2. New Orleans Saints 84%
  3. Green Bay Packers 83%

– Last weekend’s most lopsided bet games on the spread:

  1. New Orleans Saints (-4.5 at CLE) 83%
  2. New England Patriots (-3.5 at MIN) 82%
  3. Green Bay Packers (-7 vs. NYJ) 75%

– Via Bet Labs: Teams that won by 10+ on Monday Night Football have gone 58-36 ATS in their next game. #Lions

– There were a number of notable injuries this week highlighted by Robert Griffin’s dislocated ankle, which is expected to cost the dynamic quarterback half of his season. Other notable injuries include:

  1. Chiefs RB Jamaal Charles, Ankle, Doubtful
  2. Chargers RB Ryan Mathews, Knee, Expected to miss 4-5 weeks
  3. Vikings RB Adrian Peterson, Legal, Probable
  4. Buccaneers RB Doug Martin, Knee, Questionable
  5. Broncos WR Wes Welker, Disciplinary, Probable
  6. 49ers TE Vernon Davis, Ankle, Questionable
  7. Redskins WR DeSean Jackson, Shoulder, Questionable
  8. Bengals WR A.J. Green, Toe, Questionable
  9. Cardinals QB Carson Palmer, Shoulder, Questionable
  10. Browns TE Jordan Cameron, Shoulder, Questionable
  11. Panthers DE Greg Hardy, Disciplinary, Questionable

– For the latest player news and updates make sure to view our free NFL injuries page.

– Before kick-off every Sunday, former Caesars oddsmaker Todd Fuhrman lists the most popular sharp bets (Pros) and square bets (Joes):

– Last weekend the five most popular SuperContest picks went 3-2 ATS:

– Many experts have already called 2014 the “Year of the Dog” in the NFL, and so far that looks like an accurate prediction. Underdogs went 11-5 ATS in Week 1 and 8-7 ATS in Week 2. Overall dogs have gone 19-12 (+5.94 units) during the 2014 NFL season.

– In Week 2 the under went 9-7 bringing the season record to 18-14 (+3.35 units won). – Want more proof that the NFL rules all? Just look at the popularity of football versus baseball:

– Want to pick a winner this season? Look no further than the turnover battle? (Update: The Eagles won the turnover battle on Monday night pushing this simple system to 25-3 ATS this season.)

– The Saints are off to a rough start (0-2), but oddsmakers still consider New Orleans one of the top Super Bowl contenders:

– Yesterday we posted an article highlighting the biggest movers in the NFL Futures market at BetOnline. – Before the season started we highlighted a betting system entitled, “Buying Low on Playoff Teams.” This weekend the Chargers (+4.5) upset the Super Bowl champion Seahawks 30-21, pushing the system to 1-0 ATS on the season and 62-31 overall.

– On Monday morning we tweeted out the following stat: (Note: In the Monday night game the Eagles +3 received just 37% of spread bets but defeated the Colts 30-27 making this system 16-6 ATS this season)

– We’ve listed some of key early line moves below, but for the latest odds, public betting trends, injuries and more, don’t forget to check out our free NFL odds page.

– Last season we published an article detailing the value of fading West Coast teams when they travel east. Here’s an updated look at how West Coast teams are affected by cross-country travel:

– It may be the year of the dog, but betting large dogs has always been profitable for both spread and teaser/pleaser bettors:

– After seeing seven underdogs win outright in Week 1, NFL dogs once again went 7-9 straight up in Week 2. On the season betting underdogs on the moneyline has produced a 14-18 record with +5.64 units won.

– This weekend out NFL Best Bets went 4-1 ATS bringing the season record to 8-2 (+5.36 units). Receive our NCAAF Best Bets (18-13, +3.33 units), MLB Best Bets (+22.67 units), real-time odds, public betting trends and more by signing up for a 4-day trial of our Pro membership.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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