2016 College Football: What Should Bettors Know For Week 10?

In this weekly column, we will summarize key events from the past week, provide bettors with information needed to make smarter college football bets, and help readers determine which teams are offering value.

Quick Hits

Our Week 10 opening line report is a useful resource to see how lines have shifted throughout the week. (Week 10 Opening Line Report)

What are the Week 10 line moves that matter? Here are three games that bettors should know about. (Week 10 Line Moves That Matter)

A mediocre showing against then-ranked #17 Utah caused Jake Browning’s odds to slip from +1000 to +2500. In addition, DeShaun Watson’s bounce back game against division rival Florida State improved his Heisman Odds. (2016 Heisman Odds)

The National Championship race got even tighter this week. Heading into Week 10, Washington, Clemson, and Michigan are all tied for the second-shortest odds. (2016-17 National Championship Odds)

Find out why there’s some great contrarian value in the NC State-Florida State game. (Game of the Week: NC State vs. Florida State)

In Episode 13 of our Smarter Bets Podcast, Dan and David reveal their Week 10 NCAAF value picks. (Episode 13 of Smarter Bets)

Key Injuries

  • Seth Russell (Head), is upgraded to probable Saturday (11/5) vs. TCU
  • Austin Allen (Knee), upgraded to probable Saturday (11/5) vs. Florida
  • Rushel Shell (Leg), is questionable Saturday (11/5) vs. Kansas
  • Nate Romine (Ankle), is questionable Saturday (11/5) at Army
  • Justin Davis (Ankle), is downgraded to doubtful Saturday (11/5) vs. Oregon
  • Jamaal Williams (Ankle), is upgraded to probable Saturday (11/5) at Cincinnati
  • Chad Hansen (Ankle), is upgraded to probable Saturday (11/5) vs. Washington
  • Alex McGough (Wrist), is out Saturday (11/5) at Western Kentucky

Click here for all NCAAF injuries

Key Line Movement

Georgia Tech at North Carolina, 12:30 PM Eastern: North Carolina (6-2) has thrived against conference opponents. According to our friends at Bet Labs, UNC is 12-2 ATS (+8.88 units) in their last 14 ACC games and host Georgia Tech (5-3) on Saturday. The Tar Heels opened as 11-point favorites at market-setting Pinnacle sportsbook. At the time of publication, UNC is receiving 56% of spread bets, but it is Georgia Tech that is getting 54% of spread dollars.

The graph below illustrates Georgia Tech’s line movement and shifts in public betting trends throughout the week.

georgia-tech-line-movement-week-10

Our public betting trends indicate that Georgia Tech has received steady public support essentially since opening, which is likely responsible for this one-point swing as oddsmakers adjust their number based on this action.

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Andrew Fine

Andrew is a Sports Betting Specialist for Sports Insights. He can be reached at andrew@sportsinsights.com.

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