2016-17 Champions League Final Preview: Juventus vs. Real Madrid

2016-17 Champions League Final Preview: Juventus vs. Real Madrid

Real Madrid are back in the Champions League Final, ready to defend their title from the 2015-16 season when they beat Atletico Madrid in penalty kicks 5-3 (after drawing 1-1 in regulation and extra time). This time they’ll face Italian Serie A winners Juventus, who have already knocked out Barcelona in this competition this season. The final will take place on June 3rd at the Millennium Stadium in Cardiff, Wales. Here are each clubs’ Champions League title odds throughout the season:

Club (Country)May 11
Apr 21
Mar 17
Jan 29
Dec 9
Aug 26
June 27
Juventus (ITA)+110+165+1075+1275+1400+1000+1400
Real Madrid (SPA)-130+170+550+475+500+475+475
Atletico Madrid (SPA)N/A+400+600+900+1400+1400+1100
Monaco (FRA)N/A+775+1450+6500+8500+10000N/A
Barcelona (SPA)N/AN/A+280+330+305+300+275
FC Rostov (RUS)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A
Borussia Dortmund (GER)N/AN/A+900+1300+1400+1700+2500
Leicester City (ENG)N/AN/A+3200+5500+4500+5000+8000
Sevilla (SPA)N/AN/AN/A+3000+5000+5000+5300
PSG (FRA)N/AN/AN/A+3600+2800+1200+1300
Tottenham (ENG)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+3300+5000
Manchester City (ENG)N/AN/AN/A+1100+1200+900+1200
Napoli (ITA)N/AN/AN/A+7000+5500+6000+4000
Porto (POR)N/AN/AN/A+11000+12500+6000+10000
Benfica (POR)N/AN/AN/A+13500+12500+8000+8000
Bayer Leverkusen (GER)N/AN/AN/A+15500+10000+8000+6600
Bayern Munich (GER)N/AN/A+310+395+350+400+400
Lyon (FRA)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+12500
Borussia Monchengladbach (GER)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+10000
Basel (SUI)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+25000
CSKA Moscow (RUS)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000
Ludogrets (BLG)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000N/A
Legia Warsaw (POL)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000N/A
Sporting (POR)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000
PSV Eindhoven (NED)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+16600+15000
Besiktas (TUR)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000
Dynamo Kiev (UKR)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000+20000
Copenhagen (DEN)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+20000N/A
Club Brugge (BEL)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+25000+25000
Celtic (SCO)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+35000N/A
Dinamo Zagreb (CRO)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A+50000N/A
Arsenal (ENG)N/AN/AN/A+2450+2000+2500+2300

Juventus reached a high of +1400 during the tournament, while Real Madrid have been one of of the favorites throughout, reaching a peak of +550.

As for the final matchup, here are the 3-way moneylines at Pinnacle (based on 90 minutes– if game goes to extra time, the DRAW wins):

Juventus +199
Real Madrid +167
Draw +229

Juventus +185
Real Madrid +174
Draw +221

I tend to lean toward the draw for big final matchups, whether it’s the Champions League, World Cup, Euro Championships, etc and it’s been proven to be a profitable strategy. Finals are usually tightly-contested, highly-bet games where the public likes to pick a side to win. This usually creates additional value on the draw, and we’ve already seen early line movement on Juventus, so you can currently get better odds on the draw and Real Madrid.

There’s still a few weeks until the final, so I’ll have a more detailed preview with a potential value pick as we get closer to June 3rd.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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