We’ve now entered the knockout stages of the 2016-17 Champions League, with pairings for the 16-team field released back on Monday, December 12th.
Last year Real Madrid defeated Atletico Madrid in the final to win the Champions League. However, they found themselves behind both Barcelona and Bayern Munich to win the 2016-17 Champions League Title when odds were released. The 32-team group play began play on September 13 and concluded on December 7. The final will take place on June 3, 2017 at the Millenium Stadium in Cardiff, Wales.
For anyone unfamiliar, the Champions League is comprised of the best club teams around Europe (UEFA) based on last season’s results. This means that Leicester City, winners of the Premier League in England at 5000:1 odds, will have a chance to play giants like Barcelona and Bayern Munich. Below shows the opening odds to win, and will be updated as the tournament progresses.
|Club (Country)||Jan 29
|Bayern Munich (GER)||+395||+350||+400||+400|
|Real Madrid (SPA)||+475||+500||+475||+475|
|Atletico Madrid (SPA)||+900||+1400||+1400||+1100|
|Manchester City (ENG)||+1100||+1200||+900||+1200|
|Borussia Dortmund (GER)||+1300||+1400||+1700||+2500|
|Leicester City (ENG)||+5500||+4500||+5000||+8000|
|Bayer Leverkusen (GER)||+15500||+10000||+8000||+6600|
|FC Rostov (RUS)||N/A||N/A||+15000||N/A|
|Borussia Monchengladbach (GER)||N/A||N/A||+15000||+10000|
|CSKA Moscow (RUS)||N/A||N/A||+15000||+15000|
|Legia Warsaw (POL)||N/A||N/A||+50000||N/A|
|PSV Eindhoven (NED)||N/A||N/A||+16600||+15000|
|Dynamo Kiev (UKR)||N/A||N/A||+20000||+20000|
|Club Brugge (BEL)||N/A||N/A||+25000||+25000|
|Dinamo Zagreb (CRO)||N/A||N/A||+50000||N/A|
The top three contenders haven’t changed: Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and Real Madrid remain the teams to beat in the Champions League this season. Atletico Madrid and Borussia Dortmund are close behind along with Manchester City, while darkhorses Arsenal and PSG hope to make a deep run. Leicester City have seen their odds get better, but still remain a longshot to win the title.
Right now I believe there’s value on betting Barcelona +330 to win the Champions League. They should be able to get through to the quarterfinals and their odds will decrease again. They’re also chasing Real Madrid in La Liga and may be out of the domestic title with a few games left. If that’s the case, all focus for Barcelona will be on winning the Champions League.
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Below was written on August 26, 2016 prior to group play:
There were some surprising losses in UCL qualification including teams like Villarreal and Roma, while clubs like Legia Warsaw and FC Rostov were able to qualify at long odds.
3 of the top teams come from Spain’s La Liga, and Sevilla also opened with the 12th best odds of winning the title. Sevilla has won 3 consecutive Europa League titles, which is the tournament for the best teams who do not qualify for Champions League. They are an intriguing team to watch for but likely won’t sniff the title.
Are there any early leans you like, and would you consider placing a future bet this far in advance?
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