Premier League Futures Update: Surprise Teams, Underachievers and More
Since there’s no Premier League fixtures this weekend with the FA Cup going on, it’s a good time to catch up on futures like title odds, relegation odds, top scorer and more. Manchester City have been the story of the Premier League season with an 18-game winning streak and they comfortably sit atop the table with 20 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses. At 62 points, they’re five wins ahead of second-place Chelsea (47 points) and have all but assured themselves champions this year.
|Club||Current Point Total||Jan 5, 2018|
|July 29, 2017|
|May 26, 2017|
|May 22, 2017
Since the title appears to be wrapped up, the exciting bets to keep an eye on involve season point totals. Before the season, sportsbooks assign predicted point totals for each team which you can bet either the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’. Last year we saw most of the top season point totals to go Over their numbers, but this year most of the top totals are trending toward the Under:
Season Point Totals
|Club||Current Point Total||Preseason Point Total|
|Man City||62||81.5 (u-117)|
|Man Utd||47||79.5 (u-157)|
|Leicester City||30||49.5 (u-116)|
|Brighton & Hove||23||34.5 (o-140)|
|West Ham||22||47.5 (o-116)|
|Crystal Palace||22||40.5 (o-140)|
|Stoke City||20||44.5 (u-121)|
|West Brom||16||42.5 (u-111)|
|Swansea City||16||38.5 (u-121)|
- Each team plays 16 remaining matches, so there’s a maximum of 48 points that each team could possibly earn.
- Burnley are in the best shape and just a win away from going over their season point total of 35.5.
- Huddersfield are also in great shape and need just five points to go over their season point total of 28.5.
- Man City haven’t lost a game yet but still have some work to do to go over their total of 81.5.
- Because of Man City’s dominance, the next seven-highest preseason point totals are going to be hard to reach like Everton (need 31 points to go over) and Man United (need 33 points to go over). Even though the title race is all but over, these point totals will be fun to watch the rest of the season.
|Club||Current Point Total||Jan 5, 2018|
|Aug 5, 2017|
|July 23, 2017|
|July 23, 2017
|West Bromwich Albion||16||-130||+600||+550||+600|
Before the season I picked Swansea at +225 to get relegated which is looking great now. But I also thought Burnley would struggle this season and they’ve proven me wrong week-in and week-out.
|Player||Current Goals||July 23|
|Kevin De Bruyne||6||+8000||N/A|
|Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez||+2800||N/A|
Harry Kane has been on a tear, again, and I really loved his third goal against Burnley a couple weeks back. He initially plays a good pass which doesn’t quite connect, but then reacts to his mistake to win the ball back, makes a great run toward the goal, one-touches past the defender and then calmly slots it into the corner of the net with his left foot.
Mo Salah is certainly giving Kane a run for his money as top goalscorer this season, but it’s going to be tough to match the consistency that Kane brings. Even when last season’s race looked over, Kane scored seven goals in the final two games to overtake Romelu Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, and he’s fully capable of doing the same this year.
Most & Least Profitable Teams
With nine wins in 22 games this season, Burnley is the most profitable team in the league with +19.54 units earned. Manchester City is the next on the list followed by Huddersfield. It’s no surprise that these three teams are also cruising toward hitting the Over for their season point totals.
On the negative side of things, the worst clubs have been West Brom (-16.26 units), Southampton (-13.86 units) and Swansea (-7.97 units). One big moneyline upset could sway the figures, and West Brom look like they’re capable of pulling one off soon.
On the season, draws have been profitable at +18.56 units earned while road teams have continued to struggle (-27.73 units).
Road teams were really profitable in the EPL for three seasons, then the last two seasons happened:
— ArsenalDMC (@ArsenalDMC) January 5, 2018
I hope you’ve been keeping up with the weekly Premier League betting previews as value plays are now up over +30 units on the season. Matches start back up in Week 23 on January 13th and I’ll have a preview ready to go by Friday the 12th. Enjoy the FA Cup this weekend!