2014 NBA Playoffs: Are Low-Scoring Home Favorites Undervalued?

During the NBA regular season, we’ve noticed that visitors and underdogs have been historically undervalued. Although neither criterion covers the spread at the 52.38% rate needed to overcome the standard 20-cent juice, there has clearly been a bias towards underdogs (5,722-5,678 ATS, 50.2%) and visitors (5,834-5,580 ATS, 51.1%) since 2005. However, the script gets flipped…

2014 NBA Playoffs: Updated Zig Zag Theory System

The NBA playoffs are one of the most exciting times on the sports calendar. After 82-games of inconsistent and often times lackadaisical defense, teams ramp up their effort as they begin their quest for the Larry O’Brien Trophy. In fact, an entirely different style of basketball is played during the NBA postseason, and this offers…