2016 NFL Betting Against the Public Report

Editors Note: This article was initially published on August 19, 2016. Prior to the start of every season, we publish a series of betting against the public reports which detail the sweet spot for contrarian betting. By utilizing our public betting trends from seven contributing sportsbooks, we are able to see which teams the public is loading up on…

NCAAF Game of the Week: Louisville at Clemson

In potentially the year’s biggest college football game, the third-ranked Louisville Cardinals will travel to Death Valley to face-off against the fifth-ranked Clemson Tigers. Although Clemson’s October 29th matchup against Florida State was being touted as the effective ACC title game before the season, that narrative has shifted. Back on August 29th, the Westgate Las…

2016 College Football Week 5 Line Moves That Matter

Last week in this space, I explained that publicly backed underdogs have historically performed very poorly — particularly in the day’s most heavily bet games. In order to minimize liability, sportsbooks will adjust their college football lines if one side is being hammered by public money. These artificially inflated lines have historically created value for opportunistic…

2016 NFL Week 4 Line Moves That Matter

Every week in this space we highlight the most interesting line moves at the market-setting offshore sportsbooks — typically Bookmaker and Pinnacle — which take the highest limits and therefore attract the sharpest bettors. By contrasting the opening and current lines with the public betting trends from our seven contributing offshore sportsbooks, we’re able to determine…

2016 NFL Season: Week 3 Betting Recap

Every Tuesday morning, the team at Sports Insights will examine some of the most interesting trends and results from the past week’s NFL action. We’ll also look at our betting systems, prop bets, futures movement, bad beats and more. After going 10-6 ATS in Week 1, and 9-7 ATS in Week 2, underdogs went just…