Weekend Sports Update (Focus on NFL)

This weekend, we’re focusing on the NFL Playoffs during Wildcard Weekend.  Sports Insights’ popular NFL Marketwatch just completed a successful regular season by going 12-5  (70.6%). Since inception over 7 years ago, the NFL Marketwatch column has compiled a 57.3% winning percentage — with six winning seasons and one break-even season.  Please take a look at…

The St. Louis Rams and the Value of Late Season Home Dogs

Recently in our series of Bet Sharp articles, we re-examined a 2003 article by Richard Borghesi entitled Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread. Borghesi’s paper revealed that home underdogs are extremely undervalued in weeks 15-17, and our data confirmed this trend. In fact, our records indicated that this trend had only strengthened since that…

NFL Opening Line Report – Wild Card Weekend

Every Monday, we take a look at the opening lines for next week’s NFL games: Team Betting % Open Current Notes Bengals 56% 3.0 3.0 No line movement thus far for this Saturday afternoon showdown (4:30 PM ET). As a result, the betting public remains just slightly in favor of the underdog Bengals keeping it…

Thursday Night Football Betting Trends: Texans vs. Colts

The Houston Texans opened as 6.5 point favorites at the market-setting Cris sportbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NFL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 83% of all spread bets. Despite this one-sided betting, the line remains at -6.5 at most books. With Indianapolis receiving such a low percentage of spread wagers at home, this game looks…