Betting Against the Public – NFL Totals

The NFL is the most popular sport in the country to watch, and it’s also the most popular sport to bet.  Since a majority of bettors are long-term losers, we have found a betting edge when betting against the public in the NFL.  When we examine these trends, we are always looking at the results…

Week 7 NFL Line Moves That Matter

From the time most sportsbooks open their NFL lines on Sunday evening to the time they close before kickoff the following week, a lot can happen. In fact, many oddsmakers will adjust their lines on a given game several dozen times over the course of the week. This can be done to sync up with the rest of the…

NFL Week 6 Betting Recap

– Following the Colts 33-28 victory over the Texans, the average margin of victory in the Thursday night game this year has dropped from 28.8 to 24.8. – Our past research indicates that home teams and favorites have performed particularly well in primetime games which includes Thursday Night, Sunday Night and Monday Night Football. –…

NFL Week 5 Betting Recap

– This week we saw another blowout in the Thursday Night Football game with Green Bay defeating Minnesota 42-10. The average margin of victory in Thursday games this year is now 29 ppg. – Following New England’s impressive victory on Sunday night, Tom Brady is 26-9 against the spread (ATS) following a loss. He’s also 8-0 ATS when…

2014 NFL Betting Against the Public Report

Before every season, the team at Sports Insights publishes a series of Betting Against the Public articles which highlights the sweet spots for contrarian betting. The ideal range differs from sport to sport, however, for NFL betting we have frequently discussed the 80/20 rule which encourages bettors to take the most lopsided bet games on the…