Which Offenses and Defenses Are Oddsmakers Optimistic About?
Throughout the offseason we have been examining a number of propositional bets across the sports betting marketplace from Playoff Odds to Super Bowl Futures to Win Totals. We’ve also analyzed a number of player specific props including Rookie of the Year, Most Valuable Player and Comeback Player of the Year.
Not all of these betting opportunities offer value, but they can often times be used to inform bettors about expectations for each team. For example you may not bet on which player will lead the league in rushing yards, however, the fact that DeMarco Lynch (+600) is tied for the best odds may indicate that the Eagles new running back is being undervalued by fantasy players.
The same thing can be said about one of the more recently posted prop bets. Earlier this week Ladbrokes, a British based sportsbook, posted a collection of NFL betting opportunities including which team will score the most points next season and which team will allow the least. This provides insight into which teams oddsmakers believe feature the league’s best offenses and defenses.
This information can be valuable for over/under bettors and fantasy players who are debating which team defenses to draft (although you would also need to consider sacks and interceptions).
The tables below display the current odds at Ladbrokes and will be updated as new information becomes available.
Most Points Scored
|Green Bay Packers||4/1|
|New England Patriots||7/1|
|New Orleans Saints||20/1|
|New York Giants||40/1|
|San Diego Chargers||66/1|
|Kansas City Chiefs||100/1|
|San Francisco 49ers||200/1|
|St Louis Rams||200/1|
|New York Jets||250/1|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||250/1|
Fewest Points Allowed
|Kansas City Chiefs||14/1|
|St Louis Rams||16/1|
|New England Patriots||33/1|
|New York Jets||28/1|
|San Diego Chargers||40/1|
|Green Bay Packers||50/1|
|San Francisco 49ers||50/1|
|New Orleans Saints||66/1|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||80/1|
|New York Giants||100/1|
Last season the Green Bay Packers (486) edged out the New England Patriots (468) for the most points scored during the 2014 regular season. Considering that the Packers entire offensive line is returning to protect reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers, it’s easy to see why oddsmakers would have such lofty expectations for Green Bay.
On the other side of the ball, the Seattle Seahawks (+200) are the clear favorites to lead the league in scoring defense. Seattle allowed a league-low 254 points during the 2014 season and a league-low 231 yards during the 2013 season.
One potentially undervalued team is the Miami Dolphins at +4000. Although the ‘Fins defense ranked just 20th in points allowed last season (373), the team vastly improved their defensive line over the offseason with the acquisitions of Ndamukong Suh and C.J. Mosley.
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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.