Which Offenses and Defenses Are Oddsmakers Optimistic About?

Throughout the offseason we have been examining a number of propositional bets across the sports betting marketplace from Playoff Odds to Super Bowl Futures to Win Totals. We’ve also analyzed a number of player specific props including Rookie of the Year, Most Valuable Player and Comeback Player of the Year.

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Not all of these betting opportunities offer value, but they can often times be used to inform bettors about expectations for each team. For example you may not bet on which player will lead the league in rushing yards, however, the fact that DeMarco Lynch (+600) is tied for the best odds may indicate that the Eagles new running back is being undervalued by fantasy players.

The same thing can be said about one of the more recently posted prop bets. Earlier this week Ladbrokes, a British based sportsbook, posted a collection of NFL betting opportunities including which team will score the most points next season and which team will allow the least. This provides insight into which teams oddsmakers believe feature the league’s best offenses and defenses.

This information can be valuable for over/under bettors and fantasy players who are debating which team defenses to draft (although you would also need to consider sacks and interceptions).

The tables below display the current odds at Ladbrokes and will be updated as new information becomes available.

Most Points Scored

Team Ladbrokes (8/18)
Green Bay Packers 4/1
Indianapolis Colts 5/1
Philadelphia Eagles 6/1
Denver Broncos 7/1
New England Patriots 7/1
Dallas Cowboys 10/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 14/1
Atlanta Falcons 20/1
New Orleans Saints 20/1
Baltimore Ravens 33/1
New York Giants 40/1
Seattle Seahawks 40/1
Miami Dolphins 50/1
Cincinnati Bengals 66/1
San Diego Chargers 66/1
Detroit Lions 80/1
Carolina Panthers 100/1
Kansas City Chiefs 100/1
Arizona Cardinals 125/1
Buffalo Bills 125/1
Houston Texans 125/1
Chicago Bears 150/1
Minnesota Vikings 150/1
Cleveland Browns 200/1
Oakland Raiders 200/1
San Francisco 49ers 200/1
St Louis Rams 200/1
Washington Redskins 200/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 250/1
New York Jets 250/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 250/1
Tennessee Titans 250/1

Fewest Points Allowed

Team Ladbrokes (8/18)
Seattle Seahawks 2/1
Buffalo Bills 8/1
Detroit Lions 12/1
Houston Texans 12/1
Kansas City Chiefs 14/1
St Louis Rams 16/1
Arizona Cardinals 20/1
Baltimore Ravens 25/1
Cleveland Browns 25/1
Cincinnati Bengals 33/1
Denver Broncos 33/1
New England Patriots 33/1
New York Jets 28/1
Carolina Panthers 40/1
Miami Dolphins 40/1
Minnesota Vikings 40/1
San Diego Chargers 40/1
Dallas Cowboys 50/1
Green Bay Packers 50/1
Philadelphia Eagles 50/1
San Francisco 49ers 50/1
New Orleans Saints 66/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 66/1
Indianapolis Colts 80/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80/1
Atlanta Falcons 125/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 100/1
New York Giants 100/1
Washington Redskins 100/1
Chicago Bears 125/1
Oakland Raiders 125/1
Tennessee Titans 125/1

Last season the Green Bay Packers (486) edged out the New England Patriots (468) for the most points scored during the 2014 regular season. Considering that the Packers entire offensive line is returning to protect reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers, it’s easy to see why oddsmakers would have such lofty expectations for Green Bay.

On the other side of the ball, the Seattle Seahawks (+200) are the clear favorites to lead the league in scoring defense. Seattle allowed a league-low 254 points during the 2014 season and a league-low 231 yards during the 2013 season.

One potentially undervalued team is the Miami Dolphins at +4000. Although the ‘Fins defense ranked just 20th in points allowed last season (373), the team vastly improved their defensive line over the offseason with the acquisitions of Ndamukong Suh and C.J. Mosley.

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David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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