Back in April, Sportsbook.com posted odds for the 2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. It was fairly surprising to see these odds posted so early since books have historically waited until early-August to begin posting this prop bet. However, we should note that Sportsbook.com does not have the best reputation. Aside from issues regarding delayed payouts, this prop bet took low limits with a 42% hold.
Last season, Texans defensive end J.J. Watt beat out Aaron Donald and Luke Kuechly to take home the 2015 Defensive Player of the Year. This was the second consecutive year that Watt was named DPOY; joining former Giants star Lawrence Taylor as the only three-time winner. For what it’s worth, Watt was +150 to win the award in 2015 and +550 to win the award in 2014.
Since the award was first presented in 1971, every defensive position has been well represented. There have been 18 defensive linemen, 16 linebackers, and 10 defensive backs to win the award. It’s also interesting that just seven players have won the award in years where their team missed the playoffs, which includes two strike-shortened seasons.
On November 18, Bovada posted updated Defensive Player of the Year odds for seven players, but there several glaring omissions including Oakland’s Khalil Mack and Carolina’s Luke Kuechly. Von Miller, who entered the season with the second-shortest odds, was listed as the favorite at +300.
Over this past weekend, BetOnline posted updated odds for the Defensive Player of the Year Award with Mack listed as the odds-on favorite at -350. Miller, whose 13.5 sacks trailed only Vic Beasley, was listed with the second best odds at +500.
The table below compares the 2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds at BetOnline, Bovada, and Sportsbook.com. We will continue to update this table as we receive new information.
|Player||BetOnline (1/30)||Bovada (11/18)||Sportsbk (8/29)||Sportsbk (4/28)|
The section below was originally published on April 28th:
These odds will change dramatically before the regular season kicks off, but there are two intriguing players that may be offering value. Voters have clearly placed a premium on pass rushers in recent years, which makes both Aaron Donald (+1800) and Khalil Mack (+600) attractive options.
Last season Donald finished second in Defensive Player of the Year voting after posting 69 tackles and 11 sacks. Only 24-years old and entering his third season in the league, Donald may only be scratching the surface of his potential.
Khalil Mack is yet another third-year player with tremendous upside. Last season Mack finished the season with 77 tackles and 15 sacks, which was the second-highest total in the league. In fact, Mack was so versatile and valuable that he made the All-Pro team twice — once as a defensive end and once as a linebacker. I’m very optimistic about the Raiders prospects this season, and Mack’s impact is one of the major reasons.
Which players do you think are offering value? Do you think that Watt will win for a third straight season? Please leave your thoughts in the comment section below.
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