2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds

Earlier this week, Sportsbook.com posted odds for the 2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. It was fairly surprising to see these odds posted so early since books have historically waited until early-August to begin posting this prop bet. However, we should note that Sportsbook.com does not have the best reputation. Aside from issues regarding delayed payouts, this prop bet takes low limits with a 42% hold.

[ View the latest odds and trends on our free NFL odds page ]

Last season, Texans defensive end J.J. Watt beat out Aaron Donald and Luke Kuechly to take home the 2015 Defensive Player of the Year. This was the second consecutive year that Watt was named DPOY; joining former Giants star Lawrence Taylor as the only three time winner. For what it’s worth, Watt was +150 to win the award in 2015 and +550 to win the award in 2014.

Since the award was first presented in 1971, every defensive position has been well represented. There have been 18 defensive linemen, 16 linebackers, and 10 defensive backs to win the award. It’s also interesting that just seven players have won the award in years where their team missed the playoffs, which includes two strike shortened seasons.

The table below compares the 2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds at Sportsbook.com. We will continue to update this table as we receive new information, but as always we encourage bettors to always shop for the best line before playing any wagers.

Player Sportsbk (8/29) Sportsbk (4/28)
JJ Watt +375 +225
Von Miller +500 +550
Khalil Mack +550 +600
Aaron Donald +1000 +1800
Luke Kuechly +1200 +900
Richard Sherman +1600 +1200
Josh Norman +2000 +1600
Tyrann Mathieu +4000 +6000
Patrick Peterson +4000 +7500
Clay Matthews +5000 +2000
Justin Houston +5000 +3000
Ndamukong Suh +5000 +4000
Kawann Short +6000 +2000
Earl Thomas +6000 +2500
Lavonte David +6000 +5000
Robert Quinn +7500 +3000
Aqib Talib +7500 +5000
Darrelle Revis +7500 +5000
DeMarcus Ware +7500 +7500
Geno Atkins +7500 +7500
Eric Berry +10000 +6000
CJ Mosley +10000 +8000
Jamie Collins +10000 +20000
Jadaveon Clowney +10000 +10000
Fletcher Cox +10000 +10000
Star Lotui +12500 +10000
Deone Bucannon +12500 +9000
Kam Chancellor +15000 +9000
Kwon Alexander +15000 +15000
Jalen Ramsey +15000 +15000
Bobby Wagner +17500 +10000
Vontaze Burflict +17500 +7500
Joe Haden +17500 +10000
Everson Griffin +17500 +20000
Michael Bennett +17500 +12500
Whitney Mercilus +20000 +15000
Elvis Dumervil +20000 +17500
Marcus Peters +20000 +20000
Myles Jack +20000 +20000
Ryan Kerrigan +20000 +20000
Shaq Lawson +20000 +20000
Joey Bosa +20000 +25000
Thomas Davis +30000 +10000

These odds will change dramatically before the regular season kicks off, but there are two intriguing players that may be offering value. Voters have clearly placed a premium on pass rushers in recent years, which makes both Aaron Donald (+1800) and Khalil Mack (+600) attractive options.

Last season Donald finished second in Defensive Player of the Year voting after posting 69 tackles and 11 sacks. Only 24-years old and entering his third season in the league, Donald may only be scratching the surface of his potential.

Khalil Mack is yet another third year player with tremendous upside. Last season Mack finished the season with 77 tackles and 15 sacks, which was the second highest total in the league. In fact, Mack was so versatile and valuable that he made the All-Pro team twice — once as a defensive end and once as a linebacker. I’m very optimistic about the Raiders prospects this season, and Mack’s impact is one of the major reasons.

Which players do you think are offering value? Do you think that Watt will win for a third straight season? Please leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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