2016 March Madness: Odds to Win Each Region

Earlier this morning, Bovada posted odds for every tournament team to win their region. Just a few hours later, the Las Vegas-based Westgate posted their own odds with several major discrepancies. The most obvious difference was that the favorite odds were much shorter and the lower-seeds were even bigger ‘dogs at the Westgate. There was…

2016 March Madness: NCAAB Futures Offering Value

Last month when we first released our bracket simulator, we identified several teams whose odds of winning the national championship were being undervalued. By combining information from our historical database along with data from well-respected basketball sources including ESPN, Ken Pomeroy and Jeff Sagarin, we were able to create our own title probabilities and check…

2016 NCAA Tournament Automatic Bids

So far there have been 13 automatic bids into the NCAA Tournament this year with many more to be finalized over the weekend. Below shows the odds for each school to have won their conference tournaments, as well as probabilities to make the Sweet 16 and Final 4 via our Bracket Simulator. Right now Gonzaga has by…

NCAAB Game of the Week: Arizona vs. Oregon

Tonight in the semifinals of the Pac-12 Tournament, the 15th-ranked Arizona Wildcats (25-7 overall, 12-6 conference) will face off against the 8th-ranked Oregon Ducks (26-6 overall, 14-4 conference). Both teams have firmly clinched a spot in the NCAA Tournament, but this game should have a tremendous impact on seeding. Arizona opened as a 1-point favorite…

Biggest College Basketball Postseason Upsets

Last Wednesday in the American East Tournament, Hartford defeated Albany in one of the biggest upsets of the season. The seventh-seeded Hawks, who finished the season with a 9-22 record, closed as 18.5-point underdogs against the second-seeded Great Danes (24-7). Many sportsbooks didn’t bother posting a moneyline, but Hartford closed at +3750 on the moneyline at Pinnacle. [ Sign…