Sweet 16 Bettors Don’t Believe in Kentucky

Since firing Billy Gillispie and hiring John Calipari as their head coach, Kentucky has re-established themselves as one of the most dominant programs in Division 1 athletics. Since 2009, the Wildcats have gone 248-52 straight up (SU) and 139-139-9 against the spread (ATS) while accomplishing a number of impressive feats. Kentucky has won the SEC…

Public Money Moving Purdue-Kansas Line

It may be listed as a neutral venue, but one team will enjoy a substantial home-court advantage when the 4th-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (27-7 SU, 19-11 ATS) take on the top-seeded Kansas Jayhawks (30-4 SU, 13-19 ATS) on Thursday night. This matchup will take place at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri — a venue located…

2017 NCAA Tournament: Elite Eight Lookahead Lines

The Sweet 16 gets underway on Thursday evening with a slate of four games, but one offshore sportsbook is already looking towards the Elite Eight this weekend. On Tuesday afternoon, 5Dimes posted lookahead spreads and moneylines for every potential Elite Eight matchup. East Region Wisconsin (-2.5, -150) vs. South Carolina Wisconsin (PK, -115) vs. Baylor…

2017 NCAA Tournament: Which Futures Are Offering Value Before the Sweet 16?

For the past few months, I have utilized our bracket simulator predictions to determine which schools were offering value in the futures market. By converting each school’s future price into an implied probability, I have been able to identify several schools with a positive expected value. My initial analysis highlighted Florida (+4000), Louisville (+1700) and Gonzaga…

2017 NCAA Tournament Regional Odds

When the 2017 NCAA Tournament field of 68 was set, all four #1-seeds were the favorites to advance to the Final Four with UNC the most likely. The Tar Heels still have the best chance to win their region, but Villanova was bounced by Wisconsin. Along with Duke’s loss, the East Region has seen a…