2017 NFL: What Should Bettors Know for Week 4?

2017 NFL: What Should Bettors Know for Week 4?

It’ll hard to top the action we were blessed with in Week 3, but as we know, throwing a few wagers down can put you on the edge of your seat for what would otherwise be relatively boring games. Let’s take a look at some line moves and injuries to ensure that you’re making the right bets this weekend.

Line Moves

Los Angeles Rams move from +7.5 to +6 at Dallas

In one of many cases of reverse line movement this week, the Rams have gained a point and a half on the spread as they get set to take on the Cowboys. At this point only 40% of bets are coming in on LA, but they’ve accounted for 72% of the money wagered.

That sharp money has been enough for books to take notice and drop the spread to 6, though they’ve now juiced up the Dallas side, perhaps an indicator that we could see this line move back to 6.5 before game time.

Minnesota moves from -1 to -2 vs. Detroit

Case Keenum will be starting at quarterback again this week for Minnesota, who have received just 41% of bets after opening at -1. However, this is another case where the money is coming in on the less popular side, with 66% of dollars wagered on the Vikes. Because of that, the line has moved by a full point to the Vikings since opening.

Los Angeles Chargers move from -1 to -2 vs. Philadelphia

It’s the same story in this one, as the Chargers have gone from -1 to -2, and even -2.5 at some books, despite receiving 44% of bets.

As you can see, the money is split, so the difference isn’t as glaring as some of the other games. But it’s enough to tell us that the larger, sharper wagers are coming in on LA. The 0-3 Chargers will be going for their first win and cover of the season, as they’ve been the victims of a few tough beats this year and are now at 0-2-1 against the spread.

New York Giants move from +4 to +3 at Tampa Bay

Another winless team looking to get off the ground, the Giants have gained a point on the spread against Tampa Bay. No reverse line movement here, though, as the move reflects the 65% of bets that have been placed on New York.

The Giants are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Philly, and are trying to avoid starting 0-4, which they last did in 2013.

New York Jets move from +3.5 to +3 vs. Jacksonville

The other New York team also finds themselves at +3 this Sunday. The Jets, like the first three mentioned games, have only received 26% of bets, making them the second least popular pick (Panthers 21% at New England), so the half point move towards the Jets indicates some sharp action on New York. Both of these teams are coming off impressive Week 3 wins.

Key Injuries

  • Carlos Hyde (Hip) is questionable Sunday (10/1) at Arizona
  • Sam Bradford (Knee) is out Sunday (10/1) vs. Detroit
  • Kelvin Benjamin (Knee) is probable Sunday (10/1) at New England
  • Melvin Gordon (Knee) is probable Sunday (10/1) vs. Philadelphia
  • Michael Crabtree (Chest) is questionable Sunday (10/1) at Denver
  • Adrian Peterson (Knee) is probable Sunday (10/1) vs. Miami
  • Julio Jones (Back) is probable Sunday (10/1) at Denver

Check out our free injuries page for the complete list.

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Danny Donahue

If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am gonna be a very rich dude. @dannyjdonahue on Twitter

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