2017 NFL Season: What Are the Most Popular Win Total Bets?
On April 30th, the South Point Casino in Las Vegas, Nevada became the first sportsbook to post win totals for the 2017 NFL regular season. In the subsequent weeks, many offshore sportsbooks have posted their own NFL win totals including the market-setting Bookmaker.eu.
Since these numbers were initially posted by South Point, the win totals for five teams has moved by at least a full win: New England Patriots (11 to 12.5), Jacksonville Jaguars (5.5 to 6.5), Baltimore Ravens (9.5 to 8.5), New York Jets (5.5 to 4.5) and Tennessee Titans (9.5 to 8.5). That’s great news for anybody who followed my advice and took Jacksonville Over 5.5, Tennessee Under 9.5 and Baltimore Under 9.5 back in early May.
While sharp money is responsible for most of that movement, public money can impact the NFL win total market as we’ve seen with the New York Jets. According to the public betting trends from Bookmaker, over 90% of wagers placed on the Jets win total have taken the under — easily the most of any team in the league. That influx of public money (along with some questionable roster moves) has been largely responsible for the recent line movement.
The table below displays the current win total and public betting percentages for every NFL team.
|Arizona Cardinals||8 (o-130)||75.0%||25.0%|
|Atlanta Falcons||9.5 (o-119)||56.3%||43.7%|
|Baltimore Ravens||8.5 (o-133)||26.7%||73.3%|
|Buffalo Bills||6.5 (o-119)||50.0%||50.0%|
|Carolina Panthers||9 (o-133)||83.3%||16.7%|
|Chicago Bears||5.5 (u-140)||15.0%||85.0%|
|Cincinnati Bengals||8.5 (i-121)||52.9%||47.1%|
|Cleveland Browns||4.5 (u-126)||36.4%||63.6%|
|Dallas Cowboys||9.5 (o-126)||30.8%||69.2%|
|Denver Broncos||8.5 (u-131)||69.2%||30.8%|
|Detroit Lions||7.5 (o-130)||71.4%||28.6%|
|Green Bay Packers||10.5 (u-136)||55.6%||44.4%|
|Houston Texans||8 (o-119)||85.7%||14.3%|
|Indianapolis Colts||8.5 (o-114)||55.6%||44.4%|
|Jacksonville Jaguars||6.5 (o-130)||23.1%||76.9%|
|Kansas City Chiefs||9 (o-136)||80.0%||20.0%|
|Los Angeles Chargers||7.5 (u-125)||57.1%||42.9%|
|Los Angeles Rams||5.5 (o-118)||22.6%||77.4%|
|Miami Dolphins||7.5 (u-115)||65.2%||34.8%|
|Minnesota Vikings||8.5 (u-125)||57.1%||42.9%|
|New England Patriots||12.5 (u-125)||54.3%||45.7%|
|New Orleans Saints||8 (o-121)||50.0%||50.0%|
|New York Giants||8.5 (o-145)||87.5%||12.5%|
|New York Jets||4.5 (o-115)||6.9%||93.1%|
|Oakland Raiders||9.5 (o-130)||50.0%||50.0%|
|Philadelphia Eagles||8 (o-120)||80.0%||20.0%|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||10.5 (o-135)||25.0%||75.0%|
|San Francisco 49ers||4.5 (o-130)||16.7%||83.3%|
|Seattle Seahawks||10.5 (o-130)||25.0%||75.0%|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||8 (o-145)||88.9%||11.1%|
|Tennessee Titans||8.5 (o-130)||66.7%||33.3%|
|Washington Redskins||7.5 (u-116)||50.0%||50.0%|
Most popular overs
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 8 (88.9%)
- New York Giants Over 8.5 (87.5%)
- Houston Texans Over 8 (85.7%)
- Carolina Panthers Over 9 (83.3%)
- Kansas City Chiefs Over 9 (80.0%)
Most popular unders
- New York Jets Under 4.5 (93.1%)
- Chicago Bears Under 5.5 (85.0%)
- San Francisco 49ers Under 4.5 (83.3%)
- Los Angeles Rams Under 5.5 (77.4%)
- Jacksonville Jaguars Under 6.5 (76.9%)
The 2017 NFL season doesn’t start for several months, but most sportsbooks have already posted odds for Week 1. Make sure to view these odds along with the latest public betting trends by visiting our free NFL odds page.
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