2016-17 Champions League: Round of 16 Betting Preview
The Champions League Round of 16 begins on February 14th with some notable (though redundant) matchups including Barcelona/PSG and Bayern Munich/Arsenal. Westgate sportsbook in Las Vegas was one of the first sportsbooks to post odds to advance from the Round of 16:
Barcelona -380 vs. PSG +320
Dortmund -335 vs. Benfica +275
Real Madrid -360 vs. Napoli +300
Bayern Munich -265 vs. Arsenal +225
Atletico Madrid -380 vs. Leverkusen +320
Man City -300 vs. Monaco +250
Juventus -280 vs. FC Porto +240
Sevilla -180 vs. Leicester +160
Over the last month and a half, odds have fluctuated due to betting, team performance, injuries and more. Here are the latest odds to advance from the Round of 16 from Bovada:
Barcelona -350 vs. PSG +250
Dortmund -300 vs. Benfica +220
Real Madrid -550 vs. Napoli +350
Bayern Munich -300 vs. Arsenal +220
Atletico Madrid -400 vs. Leverkusen +275
Man City -375 vs. Monaco +260
Juventus -275 vs. FC Porto +200
Sevilla -225 vs. Leicester +170
These are the 16 best European teams yet the tightest matchup is Sevilla/Leicester. Talented squads such as Arsenal, Napoli, and PSG are big underdogs just to advance, which further proves how good the top 3 teams are (Bayern Munich, Barcelona, and Real Madrid.
Now, are any of these teams offering value to advance to the Quarterfinals? I’d love to bet on Arsenal +220 to advance, but this is the stage of the tournament where they underwhelm every year. Arsenal play the first leg away and they’ll need a really solid result. If you like Arsenal, I think you’re better off waiting until after the first leg to place a bet to see what happens.
One underdog that I will be taking before the Round of 16 is Monaco +260 against Manchester City. Monaco are really playing well lately while Manchester City have begun to fall apart a little this year. Monaco has eliminated English teams in this round before, bouncing Arsenal in the 2014-15 season. Manchester City have been difficult to trust in this tournament, so it’s hard to believe their odds to advance are so high. As for big favorites, I like Juventus -275, Barcelona -350, and Real Madrid -550 to advance.