2014-15 NBA Divisional Odds

BWin was one of the first major offshore sportsbooks to have posted Divisional Odds in addition to NBA Futures and Rookie of the Year odds. Early in the year we also highlighted the 2014-15 NBA Win Totals for all 30 NBA teams along with odds for the league’s leading scorer next season.

Below examines the NBA Divisional odds at BWin along with the implied probability for each team, and their updated odds at Sportsbook.com. It’s worth noting that the implied odds for each division add up to roughly 120% meaning that Bwin is using a fairly standard 20-cent juice on this prop.

Atlantic Division

Team Sportsbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Toronto Raptors -1400 +100 50.00%
Brooklyn Nets +800 +175 36.36%
Boston Celtics +10000 +1600 5.88%
New York Knicks +50000 +300 25%
Philadelphia 76ers +100000 +5000 1.96%

Central Division

Team Sportsbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Chicago Bulls -800 +140 41.67%
Cleveland Cavaliers +300 -180 64.28%
Milwaukee Bucks +10000 +10000 0.99%
Detroit Pistons +25000 +4000 2.44%
Indiana Pacers +50000 +750 11.76%

Southeast Division

Team Sportsbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Atlanta Hawks -220 +350 22.22%
Washington Wizards +160 +190 34.48%
Miami Heat +30000 +190 34.48%
Orlando Magic +150000 +3500 2.78%
Charlotte Hornets +250000 +300 25.00%

Northwest Division

Team Sportsbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Portland Trail Blazers -2000 +230 30.30%
Oklahoma City Thunder +600 -330 76.75%
Denver Nuggets +30000 +1400 6.67%
Utah Jazz +200000 +7500 1.32%
Minnesota T'Wolves +500000 +3000 3.23%

Pacific Division

Team Sportsbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Golden State Warriors -500 +160 38.46%
Los Angeles Clippers +300 -160 61.54%
Phoenix Suns +20000 +600 14.29%
Los Angeles Lakers +500000 +4500 2.17%
Sacramento Kings +250000 +4500 2.17%

Southwest Division

Team Sporstbk 1/8 BWin 8/23 Preseason Implied Probability
Dallas Mavericks +200 +600 14.29%
San Antonio Spurs +260 -120 54.55%
Memphis Grizzlies +300 +450 18.18%
Houston Rockets +320 +230 30.30%
New Orleans Pelicans +7500 +4000 2.44%

Two of the most interesting races are in Eastern Conference with the Atlantic and Southeast Division. Despite losing LeBron James to the Cavaliers, the Miami Heat (+190) are the co-favorites in the Southeast alongside the Washington Wizards. In fact, there are four teams listed at +350 or better meaning that oddsmakers believe this is the tightest divisional battle in basketball.

In the Atlantic Division, the Toronto Raptors (+100) are slight favorites over the two New York teams, but I’m more interested in the Brooklyn Nets. Last off-season the Nets pulled off a blockbuster trade which essentially sent the Boston Celtics three first round draft picks in exchange for Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Jason Terry. Although KG is the only player still on the team (Pierce signed with Washington this off-season) a healthy Brook Lopez could make Brooklyn a force to be reckoned with.

The Nets could potentially be starting five current or former All-Stars next season (Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, Andrei Kirilenko, Kevin Garnett and Brook Lopez) along with up-and-coming big man Mason Plumlee off the bench. If they can live up to their potential, +175 seems like a great price in what might be basketball’s weakest division.

Who do you think will be the six division winners next season? Which teams do you think are being undervalued? Can the Heat win the Southeast Division without LeBron James? Please leave any thoughts or comments in the section below.

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