How Much is an MVP Worth? A Lesson on Overvaluing Superstars

Although most sports fans are in NCAA tournament mode with no regard for other sports, there is a valuable lesson to take away from last night’s NBA game between title-favorites Miami and Chicago. In this game the hometown Bulls opened as 2.5-point favorites at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NBA Betting Trends,…

NHL Betting Trends: Boston Bruins vs. St. Louis Blues

Despite only three games in the NHL tonight, hockey fans will be treated to a phenomenal game when the Boston Bruins (35-20-2, 72 points) travel to St. Louis to take on the Blues (36-16-7, 79 points). The Blues opened as a -130 favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends,…

NHL Betting Trends: Anaheim Ducks vs. Detroit Red Wings

This weekend’s NHL action is highlighted by the Detroit Red Wings, who take an 18-game winning streak at Joe Louis Arena into Friday (2/10) night’s game against the Anaheim Ducks.  They are approaching the NHL record of 20 consecutive home wins which is shared by both the 1929 Bruins and 1975 Flyers and have not…

NHL Betting Trends: Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks

The San Jose Sharks opened as a -200 favorite at the market-setting Cris sportsbook and, according to Sports Insights’ NHL Betting Trends, is currently receiving 80% of moneyline wagers. This one-sided betting percentage has pushed the line to -210. In our pre-season NHL Betting Against the Public article, we detailed the sweet spots for contrarian betting. Between…

NHL Betting Against the Public: Road Teams Under 25%

As detailed in our 2011 NHL Betting Against the Public article, our historical data has found a terrific return on investment betting against the public — specifically on teams receiving less than 35% of moneyline wagers. That same article also revealed that visiting teams are undervalued, so what happens when we combine these two philosophies?…

NHL Square Plays Update

NHL Square Plays are now 33-32 for the season which is good for 50.8 percent.  While this percentage would not be high enough to turn a profit betting against the spread in football or basketball, it can be profitable taking underdogs in hockey.  NHL Square Plays have won 12.6 units this season while winning only…