2014 NBA Divisional Odds

Since the NBA regular season doesn’t begin until the end of October, most oddsmakers have turned their attention to the most popular sport among bettors — football. The major offshore sportsbooks have posted a wide variety of teasers, pleasers, futures and props for both College Football and the NFL. But what should impatient basketball fans do to prepare themselves for the upcoming season?

While most major offshore sportsbooks have posted NBA Futures or even Rookie of the Year odds, there has been just one sportsbook to post a wide range of the more obscure betting opportunities: Bwin. Last weekend we posted an article highlighting the 2014-15 NBA Win Totals for all 30 NBA teams along with odds for the league’s leading scorer next season.

This weekend we have decided to examine the NBA Divisional odds at this sportsbook along with the implied probability for each team. It’s worth noting that the implied odds for each division add up to roughly 120% meaning that Bwin is using a fairly standard 20-cent juice on this prop.

Atlantic Division

Implied Probability
Toronto Raptors +100 50.00%
Brooklyn Nets +175 36.36%
New York Knicks +300 25%
Boston Celtics +1600 5.88%
Philadelphia 76ers +5000 1.96%

Central Division

Implied Probability
Cleveland Cavaliers -180 64.28%
Chicago Bulls +140 41.67%
Indiana Pacers +750 11.76%
Detroit Pistons +4000 2.44%
Milwaukee Bucks +10000 0.99%

Southeast Division

Implied Probability
Miami Heat +190 34.48%
Washington Wizards +190 34.48%
Charlotte Hornets +300 25.00%
Atlanta Hawks +350 22.22%
Orlando Magic +3500 2.78%

Northwest Division

Implied Probability
Oklahoma City Thunder -330 76.75%
Portland Trail Blazers +230 30.30%
Denver Nuggets +1400 6.67%
Minnesota T'Wolves +3000 3.23%
Utah Jazz +7500 1.32%

Pacific Division

Implied Probability
Los Angeles Clippers -160 61.54%
Golden State Warriors +160 38.46%
Phoenix Suns +600 14.29%
Los Angeles Lakers +4500 2.17%
Sacramento Kings +4500 2.17%

Southwest Division

Implied Probability
San Antonio Spurs -120 54.55%
Houston Rockets +230 30.30%
Memphis Grizzlies +450 18.18%
Dallas Mavericks +600 14.29%
New Orleans Pelicans +4000 2.44%

Two of the most interesting races are in Eastern Conference with the Atlantic and Southeast Division. Despite losing LeBron James to the Cavaliers, the Miami Heat (+190) are the co-favorites in the Southeast alongside the Washington Wizards. In fact, there are four teams listed at +350 or better meaning that oddsmakers believe this is the tightest divisional battle in basketball.

In the Atlantic Division, the Toronto Raptors (+100) are slight favorites over the two New York teams, but I’m more interested in the Brooklyn Nets. Last off-season the Nets pulled off a blockbuster trade which essentially sent the Boston Celtics three first round draft picks in exchange for Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Jason Terry. Although KG is the only player still on the team (Pierce signed with Washington this off-season) a healthy Brook Lopez could make Brooklyn a force to be reckoned with.

The Nets could potentially be starting five current or former All-Stars next season (Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, Andrei Kirilenko, Kevin Garnett and Brook Lopez) along with up-and-coming big man Mason Plumlee off the bench. If they can live up to their potential, +175 seems like a great price in what might be basketball’s weakest division.

Who do you think will be the six division winners next season? Which teams do you think are being undervalued? Can the Heat win the Southeast Division without LeBron James? Please leave any thoughts or comments in the section below.

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