Which NFL Head Coach Will Be Fired First in the 2017-18 Season?
Not all props and futures deal with good news– 5Dimes released odds back in July on which NFL head coach would be the first to be fired during the 2017-18 season. Sportsbooks may have different rules on this prop, but 5Dimes specifies that the head coach must coach in Week 1 for action. The rules also specify that “firing” includes dismissal, resignation and retirement. Last season it was Jeff Fisher to be the first head coach fired (which occurred on December 12th, 2016 by the LA Rams). Before the 2016-17 season he was listed at +700 to be the first coach gone while Jim Caldwell (DET) was the favorite. Unfortunately for Jim Caldwell, he’s still near the top of the list once again heading into the 2017-18 season.
|Coach||September 7||August 10||July 3|
|Todd Bowles (NYJ)||+320||+320||+500|
|Hue Jackson (CLE)||+525||+525||+525|
|Chuck Pagano (IND)||+630||+1050||+1050|
|John Fox (CHI)||+700||+825||+825|
|Jim Caldwell (DET)||+875||+1050||+1050|
|Bill O'Brien (HOU)||+1200||+1200||+1200|
|Marvin Lewis (CIN)||+1200||+1200||+1200|
|Sean Payton (NO)||+1400||+1400||+1400|
|Adam Gase (MIA)||+1500||+1500||+1500|
|Ben McAdoo (NYG)||+1700||+1700||+1700|
|Jay Gruden (WAS)||+1800||+1800||+2800|
|Mike Zimmer (MIN)||+2300||+2300||+2300|
|Mike Mularkey (TEN)||+2300||+2300||+2300|
|Dan Quinn (ATL)||+2300||+2300||+2300|
|Mike McCarthy (GB)||+2300||+2300||+2300|
|Sean McDermott (BUF)||+2700||+2700||+2700|
|Doug Pederson (PHI)||+2800||+2800||+2800|
|Doug Marrone (JAX)||+2800||+2800||+2800|
|Ron Rivera (CAR)||+3300||+3300||+3300|
|Dirk Koetter (TB)||+3300||+3300||+3300|
|Sean McVay (LAR)||+3300||+3300||+3300|
|Jason Garrett (DAL)||+3300||+3300||+3300|
|Vance Joseph (DEN)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|Anthony Lynn (LAC)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|Bruce Arians (ARZ)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|Jack Del Rio (OAK)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|John Harbaugh (BAL)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|Mike Tomlin (PIT)||+5500||+5500||+5500|
|Kyle Shanahan (SF)||+7500||+7500||+7500|
|Andy Reid (KC)||+8500||+8500||+8500|
|Pete Carroll (SEA)||+15000||+15000||+15000|
|Bill Belichick (NE)||+50000||+50000||+50000|
Below was written on August 10, 2017:
There’s no surprise at the very top with Todd Bowles (NYJ) and Hue Jackson (CLE), as the Jets and Browns are expected to be two of the worst teams this year. The Jets have had a miserable off-season, which spells even more doom for Bowles and New York, moving from +500 to +320 to be first head coach canned.
A couple head coaches worth keeping an eye on are Chuck Pagano (IND) and Marvin Lewis (CIN). Pagano is coming off back-to-back disappointing .500 seasons and missing the playoffs in a weak AFC South. The Colts do have a favorable schedule early on for 2017-18, but a slow start could just add fuel to the fire.
As for Lewis, he led the Bengals to five straight playoff appearances but has never won a playoff game, and Cincy went just 6-9-1 last season while missing the playoffs entirely. Cincinnati is expected to turn it around in 2017-18, but those expectations could ultimately mean the end for Lewis. If the Bengals struggle again, especially early in the season, Cincinnati may not wait to make a change.
Are there any head coaches you think are worth making a bet on? Leave your thoughts and comments in the space below.
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