NFC Playoff Seeds

In the NFC, five of the six teams have punched their ticket to the playoffs and all that’s left for them to do is to figure out the seeding.  By converting implied odds into percentages, I calculated the odds of each team to end up in each of the possible playoff spots.  Note that the 4-seed will be the winner of the Carolina-Atlanta game no matter the outcome of the remaining games.

Now, on to the percentages:

  1-seed 2-seed 3-seed 5-seed 6-seed
SEA 86.0% -- 10.2% 3.8% --
GB 10.7% 65.5% -- -- 23.8%
DET 2.4% 21.4% -- -- 76.2%
ARI 0.9% 2.9% -- 96.2% --
DAL -- 10.2% 89.8% -- --

The Seahawks have an overwhelming 86% chance to have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs which is why they are the clear favorite in the NFC.  The only way for the Cowboys to jump up to the 2-seed (and secure a bye) is to get into a tiebreaker with ONLY Seattle as they have the head-to-head win earlier this season.


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