The Road(s) to the Final Four

We simulated the bracket over a million times to determine how often a team reaches the Sweet 16, Final 4, and even to cut down the nets in Indianapolis. But those percentages represent the average of all of those simulations. In the tables below, we’ll show the best-case and worst-case scenarios for teams to reach…

Building an Upset Bracket

Yesterday, I looked at filling out a bracket based on a contrarian strategy. That’s a good way to separate your bracket from the masses in a large standard scoring group.  But what if you have a different scoring system? Many bracket pools reward participants for picking upsets to increase the intrigue. In this exercise, I…

Creating a Contrarian Bracket

When filling out your bracket, there is the obvious goal of winning your office pool and taking home the cash. But there is also the added incentive of picking the upset that no one else saw coming. You want to be able to brag about how you picked the right Cinderella to get to the…

Why are Key Numbers so Important in NFL Betting?

Because NFL teams most often score in multiples of 3 (field goals) and 7 (touchdowns + extra points), getting on or off these key numbers can have a significant effect on your winning percentage and units won. For example, since 2003 there have been 2,670 NFL games played (including both regular and postseason games). 411…

2015 NFL Opponents

While the actual schedule has yet to be revealed, the NFL doesn’t have any surprises when it comes to which teams you are going to play. If your team has already been eliminated or if you are looking to schedule a road trip for next season, use the tables below to see who your favorite…

AFC Playoff Odds

It all comes down to Week 17 in the AFC.  There are four teams fighting for the final playoff spot and three others still aiming to improve their seeding.  Note that the New England Patriots have already clinched the 1-seed and home-field advantage.  Here is a look at the rest of the AFC playoff odds:…