2015 Women’s World Cup Odds vs. FiveThirtyEight

On Tuesday morning fivethirtyeight.com, a website focusing on statistical analysis, released their predictions for the 2015 Women’s World Cup.  You can learn more about how their model works by visiting their site, but I wanted to interpret that data into the betting terms that we are familiar with. Below is a table that displays FiveThirtyEight’s predictions along with a converted moneyline….

April a Big Month for MLB Overs

Through the first month of the MLB season, we are starting to figure out what teams may be pleasant surprises and which may be disappointments.  But one betting trend that caught our eye at Sports Insights was the number of games that are going over the total.  So far this season, overs are 172-136 using…

2015 NFL Strength of Schedule

Now that the schedule for the 2015 NFL season has been released, you have likely seen a number of articles and tweets about which teams have the easiest and hardest road to the Super Bowl based on their respective strength of schedule.  The only problem is that they are using last season’s records as a measurement for this season.  This…

NBA Playoff Seeding Scenarios

With only one night of NBA action remaining, there is still much to be decided before the playoffs get started.  There are four teams vying for two playoff spots and the Spurs could land as high as the 2-seed and as low as the 6-seed in the crowded Western Conference.  Using tonight’s moneylines as a…

The Road(s) to the Final Four

We simulated the bracket over a million times to determine how often a team reaches the Sweet 16, Final 4, and even to cut down the nets in Indianapolis. But those percentages represent the average of all of those simulations. In the tables below, we’ll show the best-case and worst-case scenarios for teams to reach…

Building an Upset Bracket

Yesterday, I looked at filling out a bracket based on a contrarian strategy. That’s a good way to separate your bracket from the masses in a large standard scoring group.  But what if you have a different scoring system? Many bracket pools reward participants for picking upsets to increase the intrigue. In this exercise, I…