Conference Championship Opening Line Report: Early Action on the Favorites

Conference Championship Opening Line Report: Early Action on the Favorites

Auburn Favored in SEC Rematch

Auburn has already defeated UGA 40-17 this season, and the lookahead line for a potential rematch was listed at a pick ’em before Week 13. However, the Tigers got a huge win over #1 Alabama and that shifted the market. On Sunday morning, Auburn opened -1.5 and moved up to -3. The ticket action has been fairly split so far, and some books are offering -2.5 at a juiced up price. Once we get later in the week and limits open up, we should see big money take a side on UGA +3 or Auburn -2.5.

Preseason conference title odds: Auburn +500, Georgia +500

Odds Drop on Ohio State

For the Big Ten title game, Ohio State was -6.5 on the lookahead line and opened at that number Sunday morning, but dropped down to -5.5 by Sunday night. This is the only title game with early movement on the underdog, and Wisconsin is also getting 60% of early spread bets. You’ll definitely want to keep an eye on betting %’s as the Badgers could end up being a trendy dog to avoid.

Preseason conference title odds: Ohio St -115, Wisconsin +300

Hurricanes Better as Underdogs

Sportsbooks haven’t really known what to do with the ACC title game line– Clemson was -3.5 on the lookahead line, but they opened -5 at Pinnacle on Sunday morning and -6.5 at BetOnline. Sharp money has clearly hit the Tigers as they’re now all the up to -9.5 around the market. Miami pulled off upsets in the middle of the year as an underdog but failed to cover late as big favorites, including a loss to Pitt last week. Bettors are clearly sour on the ‘Canes, but the value but end up being on Miami by Saturday.

Preseason conference title odds: Clemson +350, Miami +550

Oklahoma Win and In?

The Big-12 lookahead title had been Oklahoma -4.5 vs. TCU and the line opened Oklahoma -6.5 on Sunday morning. The odds are now Oklahoma -7 around the market behind 70% of early spread bets, and they’re looking like a solid bet to make the 4-team playoff. However, the current betting %’s are good news for TCU backers– via Bet Labs, teams attracting less than 50% of spread bets in conference championship games are 40-28-3, and that win rate improves to 62.2% ATS when a team is receiving less than 40% of spread tickets.

Preseason conference title odds: Oklahoma -135, TCU +1000

Trojans FG Faves

USC opened -3 vs. Stanford for Friday night’s Pac-12 title game, and most of the early action is on USC to cover. There’s been no budging off the key number yet, but we have seen the total increase from 57 to 58.

Preseason conference title odds: USC +100, Stanford +600

Here are the rest of the conference title games with their current spreads and preseason title odds:

AAC: UCF (-7) vs. Memphis
Preseason Odds: UCF +900, Memphis +600

CUSA: FAU (-10.5) vs. North Texas
Preseason Odds: FAU +1000, North Texas +3400

MAC: Toledo (-20) vs. Akron
Preseason Odds: Toledo +210, Akron +1400

MWC: Boise (-9.5) vs. Fresno State
Preseason Odds: Boise +150, Fresno +5000

You can track all the latest lines and %’s from our Free Live Odds page.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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