5-0 and 0-5 ATS teams in College Football

5-0 and 0-5 ATS teams in College Football

Last week we pointed out the lines moving against each of the three 4-0 ATS teams, yet we saw those teams go 2-1 ATS on the closing line. Duke got crushed by Miami FL, but NMSU covered by a half-point on the closing line at Arkansas, and SMU got a late cover against UConn. NMSU and SMU now enter this week as the lone 5-0 ATS teams.

On the other side of the ATS spectrum, there are now three teams that have started the year 0-5 ATS: BYU, Oregon State, and Bowling Green. It should be no surprise that all are 7+ point underdogs this weekend, but how do teams perform after starting off the season so poorly ATS?

Since 2005, teams starting the season 0-5 ATS have gone 13-9 ATS in their sixth game of the season. It’s not a huge sample size, but clearly there’s an improvement. Oddly enough, Bowling Green also started last season 0-5 ATS before covering +11.5 at Ohio in Week 6. This year they’re 0-5 ATS and listed as +14.5 point underdogs at Miami Ohio this weekend.

As for teams starting 5-0 ATS, there’s an expected regression in their sixth game, going 13-15 ATS since 2005. This weekend SMU is actually listed is an underdog, +5.5 at Houston, while NMSU is +11 at Appalachian State. In very early betting, both of these 5-0 ATS teams are getting the majority of spread tickets, and you can track all the latest odds, betting %’s, injuries and more for these games at our Free Live Odds page.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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