2018 FIFA World Cup Odds: Germany Favorites To Repeat

2018 FIFA World Cup Odds: Germany Favorites To Repeat

We finally have the 32-team field set for the 2018 Men’s World Cup, which kicks off on June 14, 2018 in Russia. This will be the 21st World Cup tournament and the first World Cup ever held in Eastern Europe. The qualification process began in March 2015 and just wrapped up in November 2017.

Back in 2016, Westgate Las Vegas Superbook posted World Cup odds for 75 countries with defending champions Germany (+450) listed as the early favorites. Currently they’re still the favorites but are now available at +500 at 5Dimes. It’s important to note that all bets are action, so even teams that didn’t end up qualifying for the World Cup were losing bets (sorry, Italy or USA bettors).

CountryNov 16, 2017
(5Dimes)
Oct 12, 2017
(5Dimes)
Aug 20, 2017
(5Dimes)
Nov 16, 2016
(Westgate)
GERMANY+500+520+530+450
BRAZIL+500+620+650+700
FRANCE+550+580+700+800
SPAIN+750+760+860+800
ARGENTINA+800+880+860+800
BELGIUM+1250+1330+1600+1500
ENGLAND+1800+2050+1800+2000
PORTUGAL+2300+2450+2600+2500
CROATIA+3100+4250+4000+4000
RUSSIA+4000+4050+3500+2500
URUGUAY+4000+4250+4400+4000
COLOMBIA+5000+3200+3200+2500
POLAND+6000+6800+8000+8000
SWITZERLAND+6600+7200+8500+6000
MEXICO+7000+4250+8500+5000
SWEDEN+8500+17500+15000+15000
SERBIA+10000+12500+15000+10000
DENMARK+10000+17500+20000+15000
NIGERIA+13000+17500+15000+15000
SENEGAL+17500+50000+50000+50000
ICELAND+17500+50000+50000+30000
PERU+25000+35000+100000+100000
IRAN+25000+40000+100000+200000
MOROCCO+25000+50000+50000+50000
JAPAN+25000+20000+20000+15000
SOUTH KOREA+25000+30000+30000+20000
AUSTRALIA+30000+50000+75000+50000
EGYPT+30000+50000+50000+50000
COSTA RICA+35000+25000+50000+25000
TUNISIA+50000+50000N/AN/A
SAUDI ARABIA+100000+75000N/AN/A
PANAMA+100000+150000+150000+100000
REPUBLIC OF IRELANDN/A+25000+40000+25000
GREECEN/A+35000+25000+15000
SOUTH AFRICAN/A+150000N/A+100000
AUSTRIAN/AN/A+25000+15000
HONDURASN/A+150000+150000+100000
IVORY COASTN/A+15000+15000+15000
ITALYN/A+2250+1900+1500
NEW ZEALANDN/A+200000+250000+200000
HUNGARYN/AN/A+50000+30000
CZECH REPUBLICN/AN/A+20000+15000
SLOVAKIAN/AN/A+50000+50000
WALESN/AN/A+20000+10000
VENEZUELAN/AN/A+50000+50000
UKRAINEN/AN/A+15000+8000
TURKEYN/AN/A+15000+15000
CAMEROONN/AN/A+50000+30000
USAN/AN/A+9000+10000
BULGARIAN/AN/A+100000+50000
SLOVENIAN/AN/A+100000+50000
NETHERLANDS (HOLLAND)N/AN/A+5000+2500
ROMANIAN/AN/A+100000+25000
NORWAYN/AN/A+100000+30000
CHILEN/AN/A+3200+3000
GHANAN/AN/A+25000+15000
ISRAELN/AN/A+100000+100000
PARAGUAYN/AN/A+30000+20000
MONTENEGRON/AN/A+30000+20000
SCOTLANDN/AN/A+150000+100000
ARMENIAN/AN/A+200000N/A
BOLIVIAN/AN/A+200000+50000
CYPRUSN/AN/A+250000+200000
ALGERIAN/AN/A+25000+20000
QATARN/AN/A+450000+200000
FINLANDN/AN/A+450000+100000
MOLDOVAN/AN/AN/A+100000
MALIN/AN/AN/A+100000
UGANDAN/AN/AN/A+100000
UZBEKISTANN/AN/AN/A+100000
AZERBAIJANN/AN/AN/A+500000
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINAN/AN/A+20000+15000
ALBANIAN/AN/AN/A+100000
CHINAN/AN/AN/A+100000
TRINIDAD & TOBAGON/AN/AN/A+100000
ZAMBIAN/AN/AN/A+100000
ECUADORN/AN/A+25000+20000
NORTHERN IRELANDN/A+75000+100000+50000

It’s a sad time for the USA who won’t be participating in the 2018 World Cup in Russia. They were unfortunately knocked out on the final day of CONCACAF qualification after losing to Trinidad & Tobago, part of a 40/1 moneyline parlay that crushed all hopes and dreams.

In CONMEBOL, it took Argentina until the final day of qualification in order to get into the World Cup, but Messi and company will be there. Chile, who had the 10th-best odds to win it all in Russia, will not be there. 2010 World Cup runners-up Netherlands have also missed out on qualifying and will not be at the 2018 World Cup. Same goes for Italy and Ireland, two countries that have large support in the USA.

Sportsbooks around the market won’t be too thrilled with USA’s omission, or the other big names around the world, as it’ll cost them some handle:

Although it’s still too far out to make a bet, I’m keeping an eye on a few teams: Argentina 8/1, Mexico 70/1, Nigeria 130/1 and Peru 250/1. In general I’m always high on Argentina and picked them to win in 2014 as well. As for Mexico, Nigeria, and Peru, I feel these teams are simply undervalued at this point and should have better odds to win it all.

A couple teams I would absolutely avoid are Russia 40/1 and Sweden 85/1. I don’t think either has any realistic shot of coming close to a World Cup title, and both will likely struggle to even win a game when June rolls around.

I’ll continue to update these odds as the World Cup approaches, and we’ll be back with a more in-depth preview once the tournament draws closer.

If you’re curious how odds looked for the 2014 World Cup, we’ve got those here for reference.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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