2014 World Cup Odds

The 2014 World Cup in Brazil has already been one to remember and we’re just entering the quarterfinal matches. Just four years ago, an all-European final saw Spain defeat the Netherlands 1-0 after Andres Iniesta scored in the 116th minute in extra time. However, it’s South American powerhouses Brazil (+300) and Argentina (+400) that remain atop the favorites to win it this year, while Spain has already been eliminated from the tournament.

With the semifinals set, the biggest odds movers to win the World Cup has clearly been Netherlands, moving from +4100 to +370. Other countries supremely under-performed and were eliminated early, including Spain, England, and Italy.

The following table shows current 2014 World Cup odds from offshore sportsbook 5Dimes and compares them to the odds back in December and just prior to the tournament.

Updated 7/10/14 at 11:00 am ET

Country 7/10/14 (Current) 6/11/14 (Pre-World Cup) 12/15/13 (Open)
Germany -160 +650 +550
Argentina +140 +440 +450
Netherlands N/A +4100 +3000
Brazil N/A +290 +310
Costa Rica N/A +400000 +250000
France N/A +2250 +2200
Nigeria N/A +40000 +27500
Greece N/A +38000 +30000
USA N/A +33000 +22500
Switzerland N/A +15500 +12000
Algeria N/A +250000 +200000
Portugal N/A +2750 +4000
Ghana N/A +31000 +25000
Mexico N/A +28000 +17000
Uruguay N/A +3050 +2700
Russia N/A +15500 +9000
Belgium N/A +2450 +1500
Spain N/A +630 +750
South Korea N/A +65000 +45000
Japan N/A +18500 +15000
Italy N/A +2650 +2700
Ecuador N/A +36000 +14000
Ivory Coast N/A +13500 +18500
Croatia N/A +22000 +20000
Iran N/A +300000 +225000
Bosnia & Herzegovina N/A +21000 +22500
Honduras N/A +400000 +250000
England N/A +2650 +2800
Chile N/A +5300 +5000
Cameroon N/A +85000 +90000
Australia N/A +175000 +80000
Colombia N/A +4850 +2000

Before the tourney started, there were some interesting odds differences for some countries depending on the sportsbook. Colombia was listed at +2000 at Sportsbook but +4000 at 5Dimes. They saw their odds adjusted at Sportsbook back in December when star forward Radamel Falcao was expected to miss the entire tournament. However, 5Dimes left Colombia’s odds fairly high and ended up assessing his injury correctly, as Falcao was left off the 23-man squad. Now that Colombia is rolling and through to the quarterfinals against Brazil, Colombia is down to just +1350 to win it all.

Longshots are rare to make the World Cup Finals, let alone win the whole thing. In 2002, Germany was a pre-tournament +2000 underdog to win it but ultimately lost to Brazil in the final game. Below shows the results and odds for each World Cup winner and runner-up since ’86:

Year Winner Runner-Up
2010 Spain +400 Netherlands +1000
2006 Italy +1000 France +1400
2002 Brazil +700 Germany +2000
1998 France +700 Brazil +333
1994 Brazil +333 Italy +600
1990 West Germany +700 Argentina +1400
1986 Argentina +400 West Germany +1400

This year it’s not a huge surprise that two of the perennial favorites, Germany (15% of bets) and Brazil (16% of bets), have attracted the most future bets to win it all but the public has got behind USA as well. Though the Americans are in arguably the toughest group (Germany, Portugal, Ghana), they’re getting nearly 1 in every 8 future bets to win the World Cup, which is more than traditional powerhouses Argentina, Spain, France, and Italy.

Even more appalling is the heavy betting activity on team USA in Las Vegas. Former oddsmaker at Caesers Todd Fuhrman tweeted these Vegas odds on USA on May 7:

fuhrman usa vegas odds


All Sportsbook Insider customers can add the 2014 World Cup to your Live Odds page from the available sports found in the Settings. We currently show all the opening and current odds, full line histories, and betting percentages around the market for each game. Check out the Round of 16 odds and which teams to look for to advance.

We always recommend that you shop for the best line and we’ll continue to monitor and update these futures through the entire 2014 World Cup. Feel free to leave your predictions below and check back in to see all the latest odds and betting percentages.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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