2017 MLB Win Totals

Back in early February, Atlantis Sportsbook in Las Vegas became the first oddsmaker to post win totals for the 2017 MLB season. Although many books had been hanging World Series odds for several months, this offered our first glimpse into the projected final standings for the upcoming season.

Almost two weeks later, the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook posted their own MLB win totals with a few notable differences like the Royals and Athletics. Hopefully bettors followed our advice and took Oakland Over 66.5 early on.

The table below displays the win totals for every team along with last season’s record.

Team Mar 27
(CRIS)
Feb 21
(Westgate)
Feb 10
(Atlantis)
2016 Record
Chicago Cubs 96.5 (u-126) 95.5 95.5 103-58
Los Angeles Dodgers 94.5 (u-129) 94.5 91.5 91-71
Cleveland Indians 93.5 (u-132) 93.5 92.5 94-67
Boston Red Sox 92.5 (u-128) 92.5 90.5 93-69
Houston Astros 91.5 (u-137) 91.5 87.5 84-78
Washington Nationals 90.5 (o-122) 91.5 90.5 95-67
San Francisco Giants 88.5 (o-119) 87.5 87.5 87-75
New York Mets 87.5 (o-123) 88.5 89.5 87-75
Texas Rangers 85.5 (u-138) 84.5 86.5 95-67
Seattle Mariners 85.5 (o-128) 85.5 85.5 86-76
Toronto Blue Jays 85.5 (o-114) 84.5 86.5 89-73
St. Louis Cardinals 84.5 (o-138) 83.5 87.5 86-76
Pittsburgh Pirates 83 (u-115) 82.5 85.5 78-83
Detroit Tigers 82.5 (u-122) 83.5 85.5 86-75
New York Yankees 82.5 (o-134) 83.5 83.5 84-78
Baltimore Orioles 80.5 (u-121) 79.5 84.5 89-73
Colorado Rockies 80.5 (u-121) 80.5 79.5 75-87
Los Angeles Angels 79.5 (u-115) 80.5 76.5 74-88
Tampa Bay Rays 78.5 (o-128) 78.5 75.5 68-94
Arizona DBacks 77.5 (o-117) 77.5 78.5 69-93
Miami Marlins 76.5 (u-113) 76.5 77.5 79-82
Kansas City Royals 75.5 (o-137) 74.5 80.5 81-81
Atlanta Braves 74.5 (o-134) 75.5 71.5 68-93
Minnesota Twins 74.5 (o-125) 75.5 70.5 59-103
Philadelphia Phillies 73.5 (u-138) 72.5 72.5 71-91
Oakland Athletics 73.5 (o-117) 74.5 66.5 69-93
Cincinnati Reds 69.5 (u-115) 70.5 73.5 68-94
Milwaukee Brewers 69.5 (o-138) 69.5 72.5 73-89
Chicago White Sox 68.5 (o-140) 68.5 73.5 78-84
San Diego Padres 66.5 (u-141) 67.5 64.5 68-94

After winning their first World Series since 1908, the Chicago Cubs opened with the highest win total (95.5) for the upcoming season. In fact, this was the highest opening win total in several years. The San Francisco Giants (90) opened with the highest win total at the Atlantis last season, the Washington Nationals (93) opened with the highest total in 2015, the Los Angeles Dodgers (94) opened with the highest win total in 2014, and the Detroit Tigers (93.5) opened with the highest win total in 2013.

It’s also worth noting that the Cleveland Indians opened with a higher win total than the Boston Red Sox at both Nevada books, even though the Red Sox have better odds of winning the World Series. That’s based largely on strength of schedule, as many teams in the AL Central are still rebuilding (like the Twins and White Sox) while there are several playoff caliber teams in the AL East. In fact, the Indians are -600 to win their division.

As you can see, there have been plenty of changes around the market since opening. At CRIS, here are the 5 most lopsided-bet win totals:

83% on Dodgers Under 94.5
81% on Cardinals Over 84.5
79% on Mets Over 87.5
78% on Orioles Over 80.5
77% on Royals Over 75.5

Based on the opening win totals, we can also project the MLB playoff picture based on the oddsmakers:

National League:

  • NL West: Los Angeles Dodgers (91.5)
  • NL Central: Chicago Cubs (95.5)
  • NL East: Washington Nationals (90.5)
  • Wild Card: New York Mets (89.5) vs. St. Louis Cardinals or San Francisco Giants (87.5)

American League:

  • AL East: Boston Red Sox (90.5)
  • AL Central: Cleveland Indians (92.5)
  • AL West: Houston Astros (87.5)
  • Wild Card: Texas Rangers (86.5) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (86.5)

We will continue to update this article as more sportsbooks post their win totals in the upcoming weeks, but make sure to bookmark our free MLB odds page for the latest lines, betting trends, injuries, futures and more.

Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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1 Comment Permalink
One comment on “2017 MLB Win Totals
  1. Atlanta was one of the better teams down the stretch last year. They seemed to finally figure things out. They also had a really good off-season and if they finish off this move for Phillips that’s another win. 71.5 seems quite low. That’s the one that immediately stands out for me.

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