2017 American League Cy Young Odds

Last season, Rick Porcello won the American League Cy Young despite opening at 200/1 at BetOnline in February. Those were the longest preseason odds this decade, and the second consecutive year the AL winner was longer than 100/1 before the season (2015 winner Dallas Kuechel opened 150/1).

The table below displays the past seven Cy Young winners for each league along with their preseason odds. (Odds via SportsOddsHistory)

Year AL Winner Preseason Odds NL Winner Preseason Odds
2016 Rick Porcello +20,000 Max Scherzer +1,000
2015 Dallas Kuechel +15,000 Jake Arrieta +4,000
2014 Corey Kluber (CLE) N/A Clayton Kershaw (LAD) +500
2013 Max Scherzer (DET) +2,000 Clayton Kershaw (LAD) +600
2012 David Price (TB) +700 R.A Dickey N/A
2011 Justin Verlander (DET) +1,000 Clayton Kershaw (LAD) +1,500
2010 Felix Hernandez (SEA) +500 Roy Halladay (PHI) +250

As they did last February, BetOnline was the first major offshore sportsbook to post odds for both the AL and NL Cy Young Award. Roughly two weeks later, Bovada posted their own odds with a few notable discrepancies. Another two weeks later, the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook posted their own Cy Young odds with several additional players listed.

The table below compares the latest odds from BetOnline, Bovada and the Westgate. It will be continually updated as the season progresses.

Player Westgate (4/24) Westgate (3/20) Bovada (3/8) BetOnline (2/26)
Chris Sale -110 +400 +350 +200
Yu Darvish +600 +1500 +1200 +1000
Corey Kluber +700 +500 +450 +300
Dallas Keuchel +700 +1500 +2000 +2000
Carlos Carrasco +1800 +2000 +1600 +1000
Chris Archer +1800 +2000 +1400 +1200
Danny Duffy +1800 +2000 +3300 +2500
Masahiro Tanaka +2000 +1200 +1400 +3300
Cole Hamels +2000 +1000 +2000 +2000
Aaron Sanchez +2500 +1200 +1200 +2000
Felix Hernandez +2500 +1200 +2000 +2500
Danny Salazar +3000 +2000 +4000 +4000
Ervin Santana +3000 +10000 N/A N/A
Justin Verlander +3000 +1000 +1200 +1000
Marcus Stroman +4000 +6000 +4000 +5000
James Paxton +4000 N/A N/A N/A
Lance McCullers +5000 +10000 +3300 +3300
Rick Porcello +5000 +2000 +3300 +3300
Michael Pineda +8000 +10000 +6600 +5000
Steven Wright +10000 +10000 N/A N/A
Kendall Graveman +10000 +10000 N/A N/A
Jason Vargas +10000 +30000 N/A N/A
Andrew Triggs +10000 N/A N/A N/A
Michael Fulmer +10000 +4000 +3300 +4000
Jose Quintana +10000 +4000 +4000 +4000
J.A. Happ +20000 +4000 +4000 +8000
David Price +20000 +1000 +1600 +550
C.C. Sabathia +30000 +20000 N/A N/A
Jake Odorizzi +30000 +10000 +6600 N/A
Matt Shoemaker +30000 +10000 N/A N/A
Sonny Gray +30000 +8000 +4000 +5000
Hisashi Iwakuma +30000 +10000 N/A N/A
Marco Estrada +30000 +10000 N/A N/A
Garrett Richards +30000 +10000 N/A N/A
Jordan Zimmerman +30000 +10000 N/A N/A
Kevin Gausman +30000 +10000 +3300 +3300
Trevor Bauer +50000 +10000 N/A N/A
Chris Tillman +50000 +6000 +5000 N/A
Ian Kennedy +50000 +10000 +6600 N/A
Carlos Rodon +100000 +10000 N/A N/A
Kyle Gibson +100000 +10000 N/A N/A
Collin McHugh +100000 +10000 N/A N/A
Zach Britton N/A N/A +6600 N/A
Craig Kimbrel N/A N/A +6600 N/A
Aroldis Chapman N/A N/A +6600 N/A

The section below was originally published on March 8, 2017

The favorites this season actually stack up almost the same as they did last year. Chris Sale was the favorite at +250 last year, followed by David Price at +275 and Corey Kluber at +325. This season, Sale’s odds are a bit better with his new color socks, while Kluber has overcome Price, who has some redeeming to do, for the number two spot.

I believe that betting on pitchers is too risky to take such big favorites, which is why I feel value lies in players at +1000 or higher.

The Indians’ number two and three starters are both choices I like for the upcoming season: Carlos Carrasco at +1000 and Danny Salazar at +4000. The Indians are playing in perhaps the weakest division in the MLB and both of these starters will get to face rebuilding teams like the Twins and White Sox several times. Even though award voters are beginning to factor advanced statistics into their voting process, traditional stats like wins still play a big role (see Rick Porcello). If both of these pitchers stay healthy, they should be able to pick up 15+ wins. Both have also averaged more than a strikeout per inning over their past two seasons so look for them to rack up 200+ Ks this season.

Another name I like is Lance McCullers of the Houston Astros. This young right-hander has impressed since arriving in the bigs in 2015. In 36 career starts, he’s posted an ERA of 3.22 with a K/9 of over 10, which is very impressive for a starting pitcher. The Astros are expected to break out this season and could win the AL West with over 90 wins. As I said before, the voters like players on winning teams and pitchers that win games, which McCullers is set up to do this season.

As the season continues to approach, we will update the odds list when numbers change or new players are added.

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Hailing from Hill Valley, Biff became a millionaire over night after a trip to the race track on his 21st birthday. His gambling hot streak made him known as the "Luckiest Man on Earth". He is now the proud owner of the family friendly Pleasure Paradise Casino and Hotel.

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