2017 AL and NL MVP Odds

In the midst of March Madness, several sportsbooks have released odds for both the American League and National League Most Valuable Player Award. Though college basketball will likely be driving you crazy over the next couple of weeks, don’t forget that America’s Pastime starts up very soon.

Last season, the annual AL MVP favorite, Mike Trout, beat out Mookie Betts of the Red Sox 356-311 in the voting to win for the second time in his career. In the National League, Kris Bryant had an easier time taking home his first MVP Award, beating Daniel Murphy by 180 points in the voting. If you look at the table below, you can see their preseason odds and the preseason odds of other past winners.

Year AL Winner Odds NL Winner Odds
2016 Mike Trout +150 Kris Bryant +900
2015 Josh Donaldson +1600 Bryce Harper +1600
2014 Mike Trout +500 Clayton Kershaw +2000
2013 Miguel Cabrera +700 Andrew McCutchen +1500
2012 Miguel Cabrera +900 Buster Posey +2500
2011 Justin Verlander +7500 Ryan Braun +800
2010 Josh Hamilton +10000 Joey Votto +5000

(via SportsOddsHistory.com)

Trout and Bryant begin the 2017 MLB season as the favorites to take home the hardware again in their respective leagues. At +130 at 5Dimes, Trout is the favorite over Betts by a pretty substantial margin. Trout has been an absolute machine since entering the league in 2012, leading the AL in Fangraphs‘ WAR in all five of his full seasons. Despite his all-around dominance, he’s only managed to take home two MVP awards. This can be partially attributed to the fact that his Angels teams have had trouble putting together winning records despite having the best player in the league. Also, some of the older voters are just now warming up to the idea of advanced statistics and analytics mattering more than traditional stats like batting average, home runs, and RBI.

In the National League, Bryant (+300) will have a tougher time repeating according to oddsmakers with Bryce Harper sitting right behind him at +350. Bryant doesn’t have the same lengthy track record as Trout but has a very similar skill-set despite being most known for his power. Last season, he was an above-average fielder and was quietly one of the league’s best baserunners.

Here are the full lists for both leagues, comparing odds from a sharp offshore book (5Dimes) a square offshore book (Bovada) and a Las Vegas book (Westgate). These tables will be updated as the odds change throughout the season.

American League MVP

Player Westgate (3/20) 3/19 (5Dimes) 3/19 (Bovada)
Mike Trout +250 +130 +125
Manny Machado +400 +1800 +1400
Mookie Betts +400 +525 +500
Jose Altuve +800 +1200 +1000
Josh Donaldson +800 +1600 +1400
Miguel Cabrera +1000 +1150 +1200
Robinson Cano +1500 +3300 N/A
Carlos Correa +2000 +1800 +1600
Rougned Odor +2500 N/A +10000
Edwin Encarnacion +3000 +9000 +5000
George Springer +4000 N/A +10000
Gary Sanchez +4000 +2050 +1800
Adam Jones +4000 +5000 +5000
Kyle Seager +6000 N/A +10000
Xander Bogaerts +6000 +6600 +5000
Francisco Lindor +6000 N/A +5000
Nelson Cruz +8000 +4000 +3300
Brian Dozier +8000 N/A +10000
Justin Upton +10000 +5000 +5000
Jose Bautista +10000 +6600 +5000
Chris Davis +10000 +6600 +5000
Jose Abreu +10000 +5000 +5000
Hanley Ramirez +10000 N/A N/A
Adrian Beltre +10000 +8000 +6600
Evan Longoria +10000 +8000 +10000
Khris Davis +10000 +15000 N/A
Ian Kinsler +10000 +8000 +10000
Mark Trumbo +10000 +8000 N/A
Miguel Sano +10000 N/A +10000
Eric Hosmer +10000 +9000 +10000
Alex Gordon N/A +9000 N/A
Lorenzo Cain N/A +6600 N/A
Troy Tulowitzki N/A +8000 +10000
Jacoby Ellsbury N/A +15000 N/A
Jean Segura N/A +6600 N/A
Carlos Santana N/A +6600 +5000
Dustin Pedroia N/A +15000 +10000
Victor Martinez N/A +5000 N/A
Todd Frazier N/A +5000 +5000
Albert Pujols N/A N/A +10000
Jason Kipnis N/A +4000 N/A
Jackie Bradley Jr. N/A +6600 +5000

National League MVP

Player Westgate (3/20) 3/19 (5Dimes) 3/19 (Bovada)
Kris Bryant +250 +300 +275
Bryce Harper +400 +350 +300
Nolan Arenado +400 +775 +700
Corey Seager +600 +1600 +1200
Giancarlo Stanton +1000 +8000 +3300
Yoenis Cespedes +1000 +4000 +3300
Anthony Rizzo +1200 +1200 +900
Paul Goldschmidt +1500 +3300 +2500
Clayton Kershaw +1500 N/A +3300
Kyle Schwarber +4000 +3300 +3300
Daniel Murphy +5000 +2500 +2200
Trea Turner +5000 +5000 +5000
Trevor Story +5000 N/A N/A
Adrian Gonzalez +10000 +5000 +5000
Anthony Rendon +10000 +9000 N/A
Matt Carpenter +10000 +6600 +5000
Carlos Gonzalez +10000 +6600 +6600
Buster Posey +10000 +4000 +3300
Joey Votto +10000 +3300 +3300
Andrew McCutchen +10000 +5250 +3300
Ryan Braun +10000 +9000 +10000
Adam Duvall +10000 +15000 N/A
Wil Myers +10000 +9000 N/A
Maikel Franco +10000 +9000 +10000
Freddie Freeman +10000 +1600 +1400
Tommy Joseph +20000 N/A N/A
Ian Desmond +20000 +5000 N/A
Hunter Pence +20000 +9000 N/A
Matt Kemp +20000 N/A +10000
Eric Thames +50000 N/A N/A
Gregory Polanco N/A +9000 N/A
Christian Yelich N/A +9000 +10000
Billy Hamilton N/A +15000 N/A
AJ Pollock N/A +9000 +10000
Javier Baez N/A +6600 N/A
Max Scherzer N/A N/A +3300
Joc Pederson N/A +9000 N/A
Addison Russell N/A N/A +10000
Charlie Blackmon N/A N/A +10000
DJ Lemahieu N/A N/A +10000
Adam Eaton N/A N/A +10000
Justin Turner N/A +3300 N/A
Jonathan Villar N/A +8000 +10000
Starling Marte N/A +6600 +5500

If we take a look at some more names in the American League, we can find big names like Jose Altuve, Miguel Cabrera, Josh Donaldson, Manny Machado between +1000 and +2000. Also in that range are two up-and-coming stars in Carlos Correa and Gary Sanchez. Correa, like Altuve, is expected to play a large role on an Astros team that has World Series aspirations. Correa didn’t break out as some thought he would last year, but perhaps this is when we’ll see the former #1 overall draft pick to put up a monster year.

Sanchez of the Yankees was able to put up a monster year last season. Well, at least part of one. In just 53 games, Sanchez jacked 20 home runs and an OPS over 1.000. Despite playing only the final third of the season, he managed to come in 2nd in the AL Rookie of the Year voting.

Many names further down the list are players that will have a hard time winning the award due to their lack of an all-around game. David Ortiz had an incredible season at the plate and helped lead his Red Sox to a division title in his final season. He led the MLB in wOBA and hit .315 with 38 home runs and 127 RBI. Despite this, he only wound up in 5th place in the voting due to his lack of value in other areas. That being said, you can see several players in both leagues who won’t be able to win unless they have a Ruthian type season.

Oddsmakers are clearly expecting Harper to bounce back from a down season. After winning the MVP in 2015, Harper saw his on-base percentage drop nearly 100 points last year and he was only able to put up only a little more than 1/3 of the production that he did in 2015 according to fWAR.

Nolan Arenado and Freddie Freeman are both players like Trout in the sense that they need to have an incredible season to be considered because their teams will likely end up with losing records. Both are great players, but with teams like the Cubs, Dodgers, and Nationals all expected to win around 90 or more games, it’s hard to give them the nod over the candidates on the elite teams.

Last year’s second place finisher in the NL, Daniel Murphy, can be found at +2500 at 5Dimes, while the 3rd place finisher, Corey Seager, can be found at +1600. This isn’t all that surprising considering Murphy’s year doesn’t really fit with the rest of his career. It’s much more likely that he will regress back towards his previous self than repeat what he did last season. Seager, on the other hand, appears to be a franchise player and could be in the MVP conversation for the next decade or so. I wouldn’t be surprised if he dips below 10/1 odds relatively quickly.

Two pitchers are listed for the NL at Bovada, something that the AL list does not feature. Clayton Kershaw and Max Scherzer can both be wagered on at +3300 apiece. Not exactly frontrunners for the award, but then again, pitchers have their own award to win. Of course, Kershaw has done this before, winning the MVP back in 2014.

Looking to track the latest MLB odds and trends throughout the baseball season? Make sure to bookmark our free MLB odds page.

If you have any thoughts or questions, feel free to reach out to the Sports Insights staff by utilizing our live chat feature, commenting below, or emailing us at help@sportsinsights.com.

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Hailing from Hill Valley, Biff became a millionaire over night after a trip to the race track on his 21st birthday. His gambling hot streak made him known as the "Luckiest Man on Earth". He is now the proud owner of the family friendly Pleasure Paradise Casino and Hotel.

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