2016 Presidential Election Betting: Trump vs Clinton Round 2 Debate Props
On Sunday night, two of the most polarizing figures in American politics will once again go head-to-head on the world’s biggest stage.
The highly anticipated second debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump takes place at Washington University in St. Louis, Missouri. It begins at 9 PM ET and will be hosted by CNN’s Anderson Cooper and ABC’s Martha Raddatz. Unlike the first debate, the two candidates will field questions directly from voters in a Town Hall-style format. The third and final debate is scheduled for October 19th in Las Vegas, Nevada. Election Day is on Tuesday November 8th.
In the first debate, Clinton scored a decisive victory. The former Secretary of State appeared calm, collected and well-versed on the issues. Meanwhile, Trump came off as erratic, scatter-brained and unprepared.
In case you missed it, here is Saturday Night Live’s hilarious debate recap.
How do we know that Clinton won the first debate? Simple: her 2016 odds soared, while Trump’s plummeted.
Who won last night's debate? Hillary Clinton
She moved from -200 to -285 at Bookmaker. Trump fell from +168 to +230 #debatenight
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) September 27, 2016
With Election Day just one month away, the momentum is clearly on Clinton’s side. As it stands now, she is -365 to win the presidency at Bookmaker, one of the sharpest sportsbooks on the market. For those unfamiliar with betting terminology, -365 translates to a 78% implied probability.
Trump is currently +280 to win the White House (26% implied probability). The billionaire real-estate mogul needs a big bounce-back performance Sunday night in order to close the gap and get back in the game.
Just as we did for the first debate, we have highlighted the top prop bets around the marketplace.
The following props are available at BetOnline
- Will Clinton say “Basket of Deplorables”? Yes +2000, No -5000
- Will Clinton say “Tiny Hands”? Yes +2500, No -8000
- Will Clinton say “Trump University”? Yes -150, No +120
- Will Clinton say “Trumped Up Trickle Down”? Yes +260, No -350
- Will Trump say “Brexit”? Yes -120, No -110
- Will Trump say “British Pound”? Yes +400, No -600
- Will Trump say “Build a Wall”? Yes +260, No -350
- Will Trump say “Crooked Hillary”? Yes +240, No -300
- Will Trump say “David Cameron”? Yes +300, No -400
- Will Trump say “England”? Yes +165, No -205
- Will Trump say “Founded ISIS”? Yes +500, No -800
- Will Trump say “The Chinese”? Yes -145, No +115
- Will Trump say “The Obama Administration”? Yes +125, No -155
- Will Trump say “The Russians”? Yes -130, No +100
- Will Trump say “Make America Great Again”? Yes -500, No +350
- How many times will Trump say “Lie, Lies or Liar”? Over 4.5 (-155), Under 4.5 (-185)
- How many times will Trump say “Wrong”? Over 3.5 (-140), Under 3.5 (+110)
- Will either candidate say “Alec Baldwin”? Yes +700, No -1250
- Will either candidate say “All Lives Matter”? Yes +450, No -700
- Will either candidate say “Black Lives Matter”? Yes +400, No -600
- Will either candidate say “Blue Lives Matter”? Yes +800, No -1500
- Will either candidate say “Bernie Sanders”? Yes -150, No +120
- Will either candidate say “Gary Johnson”? Yes +850, No -1600
- Will either candidate say “Climate Change”? Yes -220, No +175
- Will either candidate say “Global Warming”? Yes -150, No +120
- Will either candidate say “Background Checks”? Yes -175, No +145
#ClintonvsTrump Round 2: Will either candidate mention Tom Brady during Sunday night's debate? (via BetOnline)
No -2000 pic.twitter.com/ufF77FIOsk
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) October 6, 2016
Now let’s take a look at some more props available at Bovada, a squarer book with lower limits.
- Will the 2nd debate garner more viewers than the first (84 million)? Yes +170, No -250
- Will Trump say “Huge”? Yes -250, No +170
- Will Trump say “Bigly/Big League” Yes +100, No -140
- Will Trump invent another word during the debate? Yes +350, No -600
- Which network will have the most viewers? NBC (-225), ABC (+150), CBS (+300), FOX (+550)
- How many times will Trump say “Tremendous”? Over 6.5 (-120), Under 6.5 (-120)
- How many times will “Russia'” be said during the debate? Over 12.5 (-110), Under 12.5 (-130)
- How many times will “Mexico” be said during the debate? Over 4.5 (-110), Under 4.5 (-130)
- How many times will “China” be said during the debate? Over 9.5 (-110), Under 9.5 (-130)
- What color will Clinton’s jacket be? Blue (-175), White or Other (+400), Yellow/Gold (+600), Black (+1000), Red (+3300)
- What color will Trump’s tie be? Red (-250), Yellow/Gold (+175), Other (+500), Black/Blue (+3000)
No -140 pic.twitter.com/OifKeh6G6V
— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) October 6, 2016
Josh Appelbaum, Customer Service Manager: Climate Change -220 (BetOnline)
Normally, I gravitate toward plus-money props, however this one is too good to pass up. Clinton needs to shore up her support among Millennials and progressives who voted for Bernie Sanders in the primary. One of the best ways to do that is to hammer home her commitment to fighting climate change. Meanwhile, Trump has denied the reality of climate change and even called it a hoax perpetuated by the Chinese. Clinton would be remiss not to highlight this stark contrast.
Nicole Patti, Marketing Coordinator: Huge -250 (Bovada)
HUGE announcement (not really). I’m pretty sure Trump say “huge” at least once during the second presidential debate. Has he ever not dropped “huge” during a speech or interview? To be honest, I think the real prop should be whether he’ll say “yuge.”
Andrew Fine, Sports Information Specialist: Gary Johnson +850 (BetOnline)
It’s been a rough stretch for Libertarian Presidential Candidate Gary Johnson, although I’m uncertain that receiving a mere 7% of the popular vote (per 538’s Election Forecast) warrants the title “candidate” in this two-party election. Recently, the former governor of New Mexico has been scrutinized after committing a series of public blunders. First he came under fire after asking “What is Aleppo” during an appearance on Morning Joe. Then, he could not name a single foreign leader that he admired. Johnson’s latest gaffe was his inability to name the leader of North Korea (Kim Jong-Un). Conventional wisdom suggests that Johnson is low-hanging fruit, and with the election expected to be a tight race, both candidates would be smart to highlight his gaffes in order to sway undecided voters away from the third party candidate.
WHAT DO YOU THINK?
Will you be watching Sunday night’s debate? Do any of the props lists above interest you? Can Trump bounce back with a strong performance? Or will Clinton go two-for-two and strengthen her position as the front-runner?
Please feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments section below.