NBA Playoffs: Game 7 Betting Trends

We’re still in the first round of the NBA playoffs, but already this has been one of the most entertaining postseasons in years. There were four overtime games in the Grizzlies/Thunder series, the Mavs are looking to become just the sixth 8-seed to upset the 1-seed, and the Clippers have dealt with the distraction of…

2014 NBA Playoffs: Are Low-Scoring Home Favorites Undervalued?

During the NBA regular season, we’ve noticed that visitors and underdogs have been historically undervalued. Although neither criterion covers the spread at the 52.38% rate needed to overcome the standard 20-cent juice, there has clearly been a bias towards underdogs (5,722-5,678 ATS, 50.2%) and visitors (5,834-5,580 ATS, 51.1%) since 2005. However, the script gets flipped…