Week 7 College Football Line Moves that Matter

Line movement has become a very popular topic in both mainstream and social media as bettors attempt to identify which teams professionals are playing. However, blindly betting a game simply because a line moves can be detrimental to your bankroll, especially if you don’t know why it moved. Looking ahead to College Football Week 7, I pinpointed…

NCAAF Game of the Week: Toledo at Iowa State

Last week in this space we explained why sharp money was taking Ole Miss as a home underdog in their marquee showdown with Alabama, and readers were rewarded when the Rebels pulled through with an unlikely 23-17 upset. This week we turn our attention to a game receiving significantly less media coverage, but one that offers great…

College Football Week 6 Betting Recap

College Football Week 6 Betting Recap: – This was a memorable week in the college football season and it all started on Thursday night with Arizona’s shocking upset over 21-point favorite Oregon. Arizona was as high as +1,375 on the moneyline at 5Dimes to beat the Ducks on their home turf and they came out…

Is Sharp Money Moving the Alabama/Mississippi Line?

It should be an exciting weekend of College Football, but the game receiving the most attention from bettors is Saturday afternoon’s SEC showdown between the 3rd ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (4-0) and the 11th ranked Ole Miss Rebels (4-0).  Both teams feature defenses that rank among the top ten in points allowed and passing attacks that rank within the top…

Are Good Rushing Teams Undervalued in Low Scoring College Football Games?

For a long time I’ve theorized that underdogs with an effective ground game are typically undervalued — especially in low scoring games. The logic behind this hypothesis was simple enough: If teams are able to rush the football effectively then they are able to continually move the chains, eat clock, and stay within striking distance of their opponent. The nation’s top…

College Football Week 5 Betting Recap

College Football Week 5 Betting Recap: – In what was hyped to be a competitive Top-25 meeting on Thursday night, UCLA clobbered ASU on their own turf 62-27. UCLA QB Brett Hundley improved his Heisman status yet again, moving from 25:1 to 20:1 by Friday morning and to 12:1 by Monday morning after compiling over…