Who Will Have the Highest Passer Rating in 2017?
Last season, Matt Ryan put together the season of a lifetime (other than…you know, holding on to a 25 point Super Bowl lead) and won his first MVP award. A big reason for this was his league-best 117.1 passer rating, which was the 5th best season of all time.
Ladbrokes, an offshore book based in the United Kingdom, has posted odds on who will lead the league in passer rating this year. Plenty of options are available and some bettors may opt to go with a less popular name given the surprisingly unpredictable nature of the statistic. In the table below, you’ll see the top three finishers in passer rating over the past five seasons. Some names like Aaron Rodgers are expected, while others like Nick Foles are not.
| Year | 1st | 2nd | 3rd |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Matt Ryan (117.1) | Tom Brady (112.2) | Dak Prescott (104.9) |
| 2015 | Russell Wilson (110.1) | Andy Dalton (106.3) | Carson Palmer (104.6) |
| 2014 | Tony Romo (113.2) | Aaron Rodgers (112.2) | Ben Roethlisberger (103.3) |
| 2013 | Nick Foles (119.2) | Peyton Manning (115.1) | Josh McCown (109.0) |
| 2012 | Aaron Rodgers (108.0) | Peyton Manning (105.8) | Robert Griffin III (102.4) |
The odds for this year are pretty close at the top of the list, but drop off substantially after the 20/1 group.
| Player | 7/30 (Ladbrokes) |
|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | +275 |
| Matt Ryan | +333 |
| Tom Brady | +400 |
| Drew Brees | +800 |
| Dak Prescott | +1100 |
| Russell Wilson | +1200 |
| Derek Carr | +1400 |
| Andrew Luck | +2000 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | +2000 |
| Carson Palmer | +2000 |
| Kirk Cousins | +2000 |
| Philip Rivers | +2000 |
| Andy Dalton | +2500 |
| Cam Newton | +2500 |
| Marcus Mariota | +2500 |
| Alex Smith | +3300 |
| DeShaun Watson | +3300 |
| Jameis Winston | +4000 |
| Sam Bradford | +4000 |
| Tyrod Taylor | +4000 |
| Eli Manning | +5000 |
| Mitch Trubisky | +5000 |
| Carson Wentz | +6600 |
| Josh McCown | +6600 |
| Matt Stafford | +6600 |
| Ryan Tannehill | +6600 |
| Blake Bortles | +8000 |
| Brian Hoyer | +8000 |
| Joe Flacco | +8000 |
| Cody Kessler | +10000 |
| Deshon Kizer | +10000 |
| Jared Goff | +10000 |
| Mike Glennon | +10000 |
| Paxton Lynch | +10000 |
| Trevor Siemian | +10000 |
Rodgers, who some consider to be the best QB in the league, tops the list at +275. Rodgers holds the all-time single season record for passer rating at 122.5, which he posted in 2011. Although he and the Packers struggled for a stretch during last season, Rodgers still managed to put up a 104.2 rating, good for fourth in the league.
Ryan closely follows at +333. Prior to last year, his career best was 99.1 and also the only time he topped 95.0 in a season. The big question is whether last year was a fluke or if he can post similar numbers again in 2017.
Tom Brady, known as the GOAT to people without donkey brains, is the third and final “top tier” name on this list.
In the 2010 decade, Brady has posted four seasons with a rating above 100, including two seasons over 110. Though the league-best numbers have significantly varied from year to year, Brady provides bettors with some assurance as he is generally in the running for the top spot.
Are there any quarterbacks that you think could be the Nick Foles of 2017? Let us know in the comment section below.
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