Who Will Be the Next Character to Die on Game of Thrones?

SPOILER WARNING!

For the uninitiated, Game of Thrones is an epic fantasy story that deals with the quest for power in the mythical kingdom of Westeros. It deals with a massive ensemble cast that consistently turns in incredible performances.

It’s a show that defies almost every television convention and has attracted record numbers of viewers on HBO. However, for many it can be defined by two traits: nudity and violence.

Season six debuted on April 24th and, two days later, Bovada posted odds on which major character would be the next to perish. Although several prominent characters have already died this season, none of them were listed as an option for this prop bet. For that reason, Bovada re-opened their odds on Tuesday morning with several major changes.

The table below compares how the odds have moved in the past week.

Character Bovada (5/3) Bovada (4/26)
Alliser Thorne +250 +750
Jorah Mormont +600 +400
Lady Melisandre +600 +3000
Ramsay Bolton (Snow) +800 +800
Theon Greyjoy +1000 +800
High Sparrow +1500 +1800
Loras Tyrell +1800 +2500
Daario Naharis +1800 +1800
Sansa Stark +1800 +800
Brienne of Tarth +2000 +1100
Tommen Baratheon +2000 +2500
Podrick Payne +2000 +1000
Ellaria Sand +2500 +2500
Margaery Tyrell +2500 +2500
Grey Worm +2500 +1800
Davos +3000 +3000
Missandei +3000 +3000
Jaime Lannister +3300 +2500
Drogon +4500 +3000
Olenna Tyrell +4500 +3000
Bronn +5000 +4000
Petyr Baelish +5000 +4000
Lord Varys +5000 +5000
Samwell Tarly +6600 +5000
Tyrion Lannister +7500 +5000
Cersei Lannister +7500 +5000
Jaquen H’ghar +7500 +7500
Arya Stark +10000 +5000
Daenerys Targaryen +10000 +7500

It’s interesting to see that Jorah Mormont, who contracted grayscale last season, is no longer listed as the favorite — that honor belongs to Alliser Thorne. The former Lord Commander of the Night’s Watch moved from +750 to +250 in the last week, which can largely be explained by Jon Snow’s resurrection from the dead.

Other major moves include Lady Melisandre (+3000 to +600), Loras Tyrell (+2500 to +1800), Podrick Payne (+1000 to +2000), Brienne of Tarth (+1100 to +2000) and Sansa Stark (+800 to +1800). Sportsbooks take very small limits on these types of prop bets, but it does provide some insight into which characters are likely to meet their demise.

It’s also worth noting that the oddsmakers believe that Arya Stark will regain her sight this season, and it may happen sooner rather than later. If her vision isn’t restored by end of Season 6, then all wagers are void.

When will Arya Stark regain her sight in Season 6?

  • Episode 3: +175
  • Episode 4: +200
  • Episode 5: +275
  • Episode 6: +500
  • Episode 7-10: +450
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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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