NFL Week 16 Opening Line Report

NFL Week 16 Opening Line Report

There are two weeks remaining in the season and just six teams have clinched a playoff berth, meaning that there are still six available spots in the postseason. This includes divisional battles in the woeful AFC South and NFC East — both of which feature a first place team with a .500 record.

A number of starting quarterbacks suffered major injuries last week which are influencing the Week 16 opening lines. This list includes Carson Palmer (Probable, Finger), Sam Bradford (Probable, Shoulder), Marcus Mariota (Out For Year, Knee), Andrew Luck (Out, Kidney) and Drew Brees (Questionable, Foot).

In addition, there are two games which have listed posted despite undecided quarterback situations:

  1. Baltimore Ravens (+10.5) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  2. Denver Broncos (-3.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Peyton Manning is listed as questionable this week, but it seems safe to assume that Brock Osweiler will continue to start for the Broncos. With Joe Flacco out for the season, the Ravens have had a quarterback carousel with Matt Schaub and Jimmy Clausen both earning starts. This week, Texans cast-off Ryan Mallett could also be in the mix.

The table below shows the look ahead lines from April via CG Technology compared to the opening and current odds at CRIS. Each week we’ll examine the biggest moves and analyze how oddsmakers’ expectations have changed since the offseason.

MatchupCurrent Line (12/22)Opening Line (12/20)Look Ahead (4/25)
SD at OAKOAK -5OAK -4.5SD -3.5
WAS at PHIPHI -3.5PHI -3PHI -7
NYG at MINOFF BOARDOFF BOARDMIN -1.5
CHI at TBTB -2.5TB -3CHI -1.5
CAR at ATLCAR -7CAR -7ATL -1
DAL at BUFBUF -6BUF -6BUF -1
JAX at NOOFF BOARDOFF BOARDNO -8
SF at DETOFF BOARDOFF BOARDDET -1.5
CLE at KCKC -12.5KC -12.5KC -5.5
IND at MIAOFF BOARDOFF BOARDPick 'Em
NE at NYJNE -3NE -3NE -4.5
HOU at TENOFF BOARDOFF BOARDHOU -2.5
GB at ARIARI -4.5ARI -4Pick 'Em
STL at SEASEA -13.5SEA -13.5SEA -6.5
PIT at BALPIT -10PIT -10.5BAL -2
CIN at DENDEN -3.5DEN -3.5DEN -4.5

Obviously due to injuries and overall performance, there have been some massive changes between the current odds and the preseason projections from CG Technology. The Raiders (6-8) have outperformed preseason expectations and the Chargers (4-10) have struggled mightily, which helps explain why the line moved from Chargers -3.5 to Raiders -4.5.

Before the start of the season, oddsmakers had similar expectations for the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers in terms of Super Bowl futures, win totals, and divisional odds. However, the Panthers are just two games away from a perfect regular season while the Falcons just broke their six-game losing streak with a 6-point victory over the Jaguars. That helps explain why the line moved from Atlanta -1 to Carolina -7.

These numbers are subject to change before kickoff, so bettors should be sure to visit our free NFL odds page for the latest lines, injuries, public betting trends and more.

We would also suggest that customers sign up for a 4-day trial of Sportsbook Insider Pro for real-time odds, public betting trends, Best Bet picks, contrarian plays, steam moves, reverse line movement alerts and much more. Schedule a one-on-one demo with our customer service and we add four days onto your subscription for free!

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Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Utilize our live chat to speak with a customer service representative or e-mail us at help@sportsinsights.com.

David Solar is the Content Manager for Sports Insights and can be reached directly at David@sportsinsights.com

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David Solar

David was the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He has since moved on to greener pastures.

1 Comment
  • Ajit Kumar
    December 23, 2015 at 3:34 am

    @David
    I love to watch Rugby, thanks for sharing info.

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