NFC’s Parity Displayed in Latest Super Bowl Odds

NFC’s Parity Displayed in Latest Super Bowl Odds

The Eagles’ 31-3 win on Sunday was the highest margin of victory in the NFL in Week 12, and improved their league-best record to 10-1. So how did their Super Bowl odds get worse?

Take a look at the conference representation in the table below, and it’ll be a bit more clear.

TeamWestgate (11/27)Westgate (11/20)Westgate (11/13)Westgate (11/7)Westgate (10/31)Westgate (10/24)Westgate (10/17)Westgate (10/10)Westgate (10/3)Westgate (9/26)Westgate (9/19)Westgate (9/12)Westgate (9/7)BetOnline (7/15)Westgate (3/6)Westgate (1/10)
New England Patriots+220+225+300+350+350+350+400+450+500+400+350+400+275+325+450+600
Pittsburgh Steelers+350+350+400+400+400+450+500+700+450+700+700+600+900+1200+1000+1000
Philadelphia Eagles+400+350+450+400+600+700+800+1600+2000+3000+3000+3000+4000+5000+5000+6000
Minnesota Vikings+800+1000+1400+1000+1200+1200+1600+4000+4000+2500+3000+2500+4000+3600+2000+2500
Los Angeles Rams+1400+1600+1200+1600+2000+1800+4000+8000+5000+6000+8000+8000+10000+15000+10000+10000
New Orleans Saints+1600+1000+600+1000+1200+1400+2000+4000+4000+8000+10000+5000+2500+5000+6000+8000
Carolina Panthers+1600+2500+3000+2500+2500+3000+2000+1400+3000+5000+2000+2000+3000+2800+2000+2000
Atlanta Falcons+1600+3000+2500+3000+1800+1400+900+800+800+600+700+1200+1600+1000+1200+1600
Seattle Seahawks+2000+2000+1400+1200+800+1000+900+1000+1000+1200+1000+1000+800+1000+1200+1200
Kansas City Chiefs+2500+1600+1000+1000+600+800+600+600+900+1000+1400+1600+3000+2500+2000+2000
Los Angeles Chargers+2500+10000+20000+10000+10000+6000+8000+30000+50000+20000+10000+6000+6000+4500+6000+8000
Jacksonville Jaguars+3000+2000+2500+3500+5000+6000+10000+5000+10000+8000+10000+6000+10000+8000+8000+8000
Tennessee Titans+3000+4000+3000+3000+4000+4000+3500+5000+3000+2000+3000+4000+2000+4000+4000+4000
Oakland Raiders+3500+8000+4000+3000+10000+2500+4000+3000+2000+1000+800+700+800+1100+1200+2000
Detroit Lions+10000+3000+5000+6000+10000+5000+5000+4000+2500+3000+4000+8000+10000+5000+6000+6000
Baltimore Ravens+10000+10000+50000+20000+10000+20000+10000+8000+10000+4000+2500+4000+5000+4000+2500+2500
Dallas Cowboys+20000+6000+3000+1600+2000+2000+2500+2000+1600+800+1000+800+1200+900+800+1000
Green Bay Packers+20000+10000+8000+10000+8000+6000+3000+500+600+800+1000+700+800+850+1200+1200
Washington Redskins+30000+30000+30000+10000+20000+8000+5000+8000+8000+8000+10000+20000+10000+6600+4000+5000
Cincinnati Bengals+30000+30000+100000+30000+8000+10000+8000+8000+20000+30000+20000+10000+8000+6600+4000+5000
Buffalo Bills+30000+50000+20000+10000+5000+6000+8000+8000+8000+20000+30000+20000+20000+10000+8000+8000
Arizona Cardinals+30000+100000+50000+20000+30000+30000+10000+20000+8000+10000+6000+5000+5000+3600+2000+2500
Houston Texans+100000+30000+30000+10000+4000+4000+3500+4000+2500+3500+8000+10000+4000+1800+4000+6000
New York Jets+200000+100000+100000+30000+100000+50000+30000+30000+50000+100000+999900+200000+100000+50000+10000+10000
Miami Dolphins+500000+100000+30000+30000+30000+10000+10000+20000+20000+10000+8000+10000+10000+6600+3000+4000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+500000+100000+50000+100000+20000+8000+8000+4000+3000+4000+3000+4000+4000+3300+3000+4000
Denver BroncosN/A+100000+50000+20000+8000+3000+2800+1400+1400+2000+2000+4000+4000+2500+2000+2000
Chicago BearsN/A+200000+50000+20000+20000+10000+20000+50000+50000+10000+50000+10000+10000+17500+10000+10000
Indianapolis ColtsN/A+200000+200000+100000+100000+50000+10000+10000+20000+20000+50000+20000+10000+4000+2500+2500
New York GiantsN/AN/AN/A+999900+50000+50000+20000+30000+10000+8000+3000+2000+1200+1600+2000+2500
Cleveland BrownsN/AN/AN/A+999900+999900+999900+999900+999900+200000+50000+50000+30000+10000+25000+30000+30000
San Francisco 49ersN/AN/AN/AN/A+999900+200000+200000+100000+50000+20000+50000+50000+10000+30000+30000+30000

Following the Patriots and Steelers, the next seven teams ranked by Super Bowl odds come from the NFC, spanning a range of 4-1 to 20-1. So while the Eagles have been arguably the most impressive team in the NFL this season, their road to the Super Bowl will be no cakewalk.

The Vikings come in this week at their season best +800 after a Thanksgiving win over the Lions. Minnesota has now won seven straight, giving them a three-game lead in the NFC North with five games to go. They also now have sole possession of the second best record in the NFC, meaning they control their own destiny in terms of a first round bye.

Last year’s NFC champs had perhaps the most notable odds jump of the week. The Falcons improved from +3000 to +1600, an increase of 3.2% to 5.9% in implied probability. In addition to their 14-point win over Tampa Bay on Sunday, the Falcons’ odds were slightly boosted by the Saints dropping their first game in over two months, opening the door in the NFC South.

Also benefiting from New Orleans’ loss were the Panthers. Carolina is now tied with the Saints at 8-3 atop the NFC South, and had their Super Bowl odds jump from +2500 to +1600 this week.

It seems the NFL scheduling masterminds saw this coming, and gifted us with six of those top seven NFC teams going head-to-head in Week 13. They even spaced them out to cover the entire day Sunday so we wouldn’t miss a minute. Here are the matchups at their current lines:

  • Sunday 1 PM EST, Minnesota at Atlanta (-3)
  • Sunday 4:25 PM EST, Carolina at New Orleans (-4)
  • Sunday 8:30 PM EST, Philadelphia (-5) at Seattle

These games should shake things up quite a bit in regards to Super Bowl futures, so if you’ve got a hunch on one of them you might want to consider buying low before your team’s odds are affected by the results.

Danny Donahue

If John Mellencamp ever wins an Oscar, I am gonna be a very rich dude. @dannyjdonahue on Twitter

No Comments
Post a Comment

Send this to friend