After months of people wasting time debating the Tom Brady “deflategate scandal”, Judge Berman decided on Thursday morning to nullify Tom Brady’s 4-game suspension. Back on July 30th, the odds on Tom Brady’s suspension to be reduced entirely was listed at +180 (via 5Dimes). Soon after the news broke, sportsbooks were quick to re-open Patriots futures and Week 1 odds, which we highlight below:
Week 1 vs. Steelers:
April 22: Patriots opened -6 with a Total of 54 at BetOnline before any Brady suspension.
May 15: Patriots re-opened -2.5 with Garroppolo expected to start and Brady suspended for 4 games.
Aug 31: Patriots moved to -3.5 with some speculation that Brady’s suspension would be reversed for Week 1.
Sep 3: Patriots re-opened -6.5 with Brady’s suspension nullified, and quickly moved to -7 at BetOnline. Sharp books like Pinnacle re-opened Patriots -7 and David Purdum is reporting early money on the Pats at William Hill in Las Vegas. The Total re-opened at 50.5 and has steadied at the current number of 51.
Below shows how the Over/Under Line History at BetOnline:
Super Bowl Odds and Futures:
Patriots moved from 12:1 to 9:1 to win Super Bowl 50 at William Hill.
Patriots moved from +400 to +320 to win the AFC at BetOnline.
Patriots moved from -165 to -210 to win the AFC East at BetOnline.
Patriots moved from -300 to -400 to make the playoffs at BetOnline.
At William Hill, Tom Brady improved from 40:1 to 15:1 to throw for the most passing yards this season.
At 5Dimes, Tom Brady is now 14:1 to win the NFL MVP. He had previously been off the board entirely.
The Patriots Season Win Total increased from 10 (o-150) to 10.5 (o-150).
Bet Labs has projected the Pats to win 10.35 games this season (from 9.69 prior to the nullified suspension).
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