College Football Week 7 Betting Recap

College Football Week 7 Betting Recap:

– Thursday night’s slate of games weren’t spectacular, but each saw a close game in regards to the spread (Stanford, SDSU, UNLV).

– The big news of the week was the indefinite suspension to UGA RB Todd Gurley. This dropped UGA’s odds vs. Missouri from -3 to -1 before the game was taken off the board completely, but interestingly re-opened UGA -3 (Georgia won easily, 34-0). The suspension also took his Heisman odds off the board everywhere, and dropped UGA’s title odds from +800 to +1000. By Monday morning, they were at +1400.

– Baylor won in an epic comeback over TCU on Saturday afternoon. Trailing 58-37 with 11:38 to play, Baylor’s odds to win were as high as +1600 in live betting at William Hill, according to David Purdum (@DavidPurdum). Baylor stormed back with big plays and solid defense and kicked a FG to win it 61-58.

– Mississippi State is the new #1 team in the AP Poll, and it’s the first time that a team has gone from unranked to #1 over the span of 5 weeks (via @ESPNStatsInfo). Before the season when they were as high as 175:1 to win the title, MGM Sportsbook in Las Vegas took 29 small wagers on them (via @DavidPurdum).

Backup QBs that filled in:

Houston: Ward, Jr (covered)

Illinois: O’Toole (covered)

Syracuse: Wilson (covered)

Tulane: Montana (covered)

BYU: Stewart (did not cover)

Via our Bet Labs software:

– Last year there were 11 teams that failed to win more than 3 games ATS (combining to go 30-100 ATS). Those same teams have greatly improved and are now 36-32 ATS on the year.

– The four least popular bets of the day (Purdue, Texas, Kansas, Syracuse) all covered the spread, and the least popular Total (just 10% on the ECU-USF Under) easily covered.

– Teams that were receiving less than 35% of spread bets went 17-10 ATS last week and are now 133-122 ATS on the year.

– Teams that were +7 or greater on the spread went 19-8 ATS this past week and are now 153-130 ATS on the year.

– Underdogs went 29-25 ATS this past week and are now 226-207 ATS on the year.

– UMASS snapped their 12-game losing streak by thrashing Kent. Idaho now owns the nation’s longest losing streak at 13 games.

Heisman Odds on the rise:

Dak Prescott, Miss St, +175 from +180

Marcus Mariota, Oregon, +300 from +800

Bryce Petty, Baylor, +400 from no odds

Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin, +400 from +2500

Everett Golson, Notre Dame, +500 from +800

National Title Odds on the rise:

Michigan State +650 from +800

Mississippi State +700 from +2200

Oklahoma +900 from +1200

Ohio State +1000 from +1800

Oregon +1200 from +2500

AP Top 10 Poll with Current Title Odds and Preseason Title Odds (via Sportsbook):

Miss St  +700 | +12000

FSU +700 | +500

Ole Miss +1500 | +4500

Baylor +1500 | +3000

Notre Dame +1000 | +6500

Auburn +1200 | +850

Alabama +800 | +650

Michigan St +650 | +3500

Oregon +1200 | +750

Georgia +1400 | +1300

Key Week 8 odds (via CRIS):

Baylor -9 at West Virginia

Georgia -3.5 vs Arkansas

Stanford -3.5 at Arizona State

Alabama -12.5 vs Texas A&M

Mississippi -17 vs Tennessee

Key QB injuries for Week 8:

Clemson, DeShaun Watson, OUT

Cincinnati, Gunner Kiel, PROBABLE

Akron, Kyle Pohl, QUESTIONABLE

Indiana, Nate Sudfeld, OUT FOR YEAR

Tulane, Tanner Lee, QUESTIONABLE

Arizona St, Taylor Kelly, QUESTIONABLE

Texas San Antonio, Tucker Carter, QUESTIONABLE

Check out all of the latest Week 8 College Football betting lines, public betting trends, breaking injuries and more at our new free NCAAF live odds page.

Our College Football Best Bets have started the season 37-27 ATS (+6.5 units) performance and you can get them all through the entire season along with all other sports with our discounted packages.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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