Should Cold Weather Affect Your NFL Betting Strategy?

You hear it all the time. When the weather gets cold, NFL teams have to be able to win low-scoring games with a good running attack and a defense that can make key stops. With below-freezing temperatures expected Saturday in Denver, talking heads and NFL “experts” have already begun analyzing how the chilly weather will…

Parlays vs. Teasers: Which is the Better NFL Betting Strategy?

When dealing with favorites, we often get asked by our members whether teasers or parlaying moneylines provide the better payout. For example, this week’s NFL Wild Card Playoffs include Green Bay Packers (-7.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings and Baltimore Ravens (-7) vs. Indianapolis Colts. By including Green Bay and Baltimore in a two-team, 7-point teaser, bettors are dropping…

For Late Season NFL Bettors, There’s No Place Like Home

In 2003, Richard Borghesi published a paper called, “Price Predictability: Insights from the NFL Point Spread Market.” In this paper, Borghesi analyzed Week 15 through the playoffs from 1981-2000 and found that, after Week 14, there is increased value in NFL betting when isolating large, home underdogs. Last season, we updated this analysis to see…