2017 NFL MVP Odds

2017 NFL MVP Odds

Last season Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan threw for 4,944 yards with 38 touchdowns and 7 interceptions while leading his team to an 11-5 regular season record and the NFC South crown. Although they ultimately lost to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 51, Ryan earned his first career MVP Award for that spectacular regular season performance. Bettors who had faith in the former Boston College standout were rewarded handsomely, as Ryan was available between 90/1 and 135/1 to win the NFL MVP Award prior to the start of the season.

[ View the latest lines and trends by visiting our free odds page ]

Since the award was first handed out in 1957, more quarterbacks have won this award (40) than all other positions combined (21). Included in those other winners are 18 running backs, one defensive tackle (Alan Page in 1971), one place kicker (Mark Moseley in 1982) and one linebacker (Lawrence Taylor in 1986). Since 95% of past winners have been either running backs or quarterbacks, bettors may want to avoid placing a wager on some of the league’s most electric wide receivers like Antonio Brown, Julio Jones, and Odell Beckham Jr.

The table below displays the past MVP winners along with their preseason odds.

YearPlayerPositionPreseason Odds
2016Matt RyanQB+9000
2015Cam NewtonQB+1500
2014Aaron RodgersQB+600
2013Peyton ManningQB+600
2012Adrian PetersonRB+4000
2011Aaron RodgersQB+400
2010Tom BradyQB+800
2009Peyton ManningQB+500

On Monday (6/27) morning, Bovada released odds for the 2017 NFL MVP with Ryan (+1600) listed with the seventh-best odds. Interestingly, all six players with shorter odds are quarterbacks including the favorite, Tom Brady at +450. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (+700) enters the season with the second-best odds for the third consecutive season.

The table below examines the current NFL MVP odds from around the market. It will be updated as more information becomes available.

PlayerTeam7/24 (BetOnline)6/27 (Bovada)
Tom BradyNE+400+450
Aaron RodgersGB+650+700
Russell WilsonSEA+1000+1200
Ben RoethlisbergerPIT+1200+1000
Dak PrescottDAL+1200+1200
Matt RyanATL+1400+1600
Derek CarrOAK+1600+900
Ezekiel ElliottDAL+2000+2000
Cam NewtonCAR+2200+2500
Andrew LuckIND+2500+2500
Drew BreesNO+2500+2500
Le'Veon BellPIT+2500+3300
David JohnsonARI+3300+3300
Antonio BrownPIT+3300+5000
Julio JonesATL+3300+5000
Sam BradfordMIN+3300+5000
Eli ManningNYG+3300+5000
Carson WentzPHI+3300+10000
Marcus MariotaTEN+5000+3300
Carson PalmerARI+5000+5000
Andy DaltonCIN+5000+10000
Jameis WinstonTB+6600+5000
LeSean McCoyBUF+6600+10000
Paxton LynchDEN+10000N/A
Matt StaffordDETN/A+5000
Philip RiversLACN/A+5000
Adrian PetersonNON/A+5000
Kirk CousinsWASN/A+5000
Alex SmithKCN/A+6600
Ryan TannehillMIAN/A+6600
Odell Beckham Jr.NYGN/A+6600
J.J. WattHOUN/A+6600
Rob GronkowskiNEN/A+6600
Khalil MackOAKN/A+6600
T.Y. HiltonINDN/A+10000
Von MillerDENN/A+10000
Joe FlaccoBALN/A+10000
Marshawn LynchOAKN/A+10000
Blake BortlesJAXN/A+10000
DeMarco MurrayPHIN/A+10000

Originally published June 27th

Although these odds will likely change dramatically by the time the regular season rolls around, there are several players that appear to be offering value. One of my personal favorites is Andrew Luck, who’s currently available at 25/1.

Last season Luck struggled with injuries but still managed to rack up 4,240 passing yards and 33 total touchdowns while posting a career-high 63.5% completion percentage. The Colts offensive line has been rightfully scrutinized in the past, but this unit should (finally) see some stability this season. New general manager Chris Ballard has also improved the team’s defense over the offseason, which should take some pressure off Luck.

I’m not particularly optimistic about the Colts’ competition in the AFC South, and I think Indianapolis should be a playoff team this season. Luck is a top-five quarterback when he’s healthy, and he’s capable of posting massive statistics — especially if T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief can both stay healthy all year. Luck was the MVP favorite just three years ago, and I think people may be overreacting to some of his recent struggles. It will be interesting to see where other books open, but Luck is a player to watch at 25/1.

Which players do you think are offering value? Do you think that Matt Ryan will be able repeat? Please leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

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David Solar

David is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems.

1 Comment
  • Bryan Benson
    July 8, 2017 at 1:09 am

    Before you recommend Andrew luck to bettors please research the guy first. He’s got a nagging injury from last year that was improperly managed by a poor Colts staff for all of 2016 and part of 2015. He’s going to have to fight to be a top 10 qb next year, mvp would be more realistic for half the other long shots. Don’t over think things. Karr has the best shot at making a good couple bucks.

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