2017-18 College Football Week 9 Betting Recap

2017-18 College Football Week 9 Betting Recap

Ohio State’s 39-38 comeback win over Penn State capped off another exciting week of NCAAF action. Public bettors covered on the Penn State spread +7, but lost on the Penn State moneyline +240, a game they led the entire way.

In weekday action, Stanford (opened -21.5, closd -18) came back to squeak by Oregon State 15-14 without RB Bryce Love. BC throttled FSU on Friday night 35-3, yet there was actually considerable line movement on FSU leading up to the game, moving from -3.5 to -6.5.

Now it looks like Jimbo Fisher’s job could be in serious jeopardy if it wasn’t already. BC’s win clinches the Over for their Season Win Total (4), while FSU’s loss moves them to 2-5 SU and 0-5-2 ATS, only team in the nation without a cover.

Week 9 Betting Trends:
Underdogs 28-25-3 ATS
Visitors 28-24-3 ATS
Teams getting less than 30 percent of bets went 9-6 ATS
Overs 28-28

Biggest ML upsets:
UNLV +843 at Fresno
FIU +500 at Marshall
UAB +359 at Southern Miss
Houston +313 at USF

Betting Nuggets:

James Franklin is now 0-9 in road games vs AP-ranked opponents, including 0-4 at Penn State. This was the first loss by single-digits but Nittany Lions did cover the spread.

Despite the public win on Penn State, contrarian bettors did very well overall. Fading the most popular bets in the most-bet games of the day went 7-2 ATS including covers by Oklahoma, Mississippi State and Oklahoma State.

Iowa State got another huge upset win, this time over TCU 14-7. It’s the 3rd moneyline upset of the year for the Cyclones (+4500 at Oklahoma, +193 at TTU) and they closed +250 vs. TCU.

BYU finally got a win and cover, beating SJSU 41-20. The Cougars are now 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS. It had been the longest ATS losing streak since 2009 (Kansas). FSU is the only team without a cover this year (0-5-2 ATS).

Arkansas (+2.5/+3) made a huge comeback to reward both spread and moneyline bettors, beating Ole Miss 38-37. The Hogs went down 31-7 in the 2nd quarter but won it on a late field goal.

UCF had been 17-0-1 on the 1H/2H/Game lines, but failed to cover both the Game and 1H against Austin Peay in a blowout victory.

Based on closing lines from Pinnacle, Georgia Tech is the only remaining undefeated ATS team (6-0-1). Yellow Jackets closed +14 at Clemson and lost 24-10.

South Florida’s string of consecutive 30+ point games came to an end last night in a 28-24 loss to Houston. South Florida had set an NCAA record of 24 straight games reaching the feat.

Florida Gators were embarrassed by Georgia 42-7. Believe it or not, there was actually line movement toward the Gators, but the game was over in the 1st half.

Last night’s Utah/Oregon total closed at 49, lowest for a Ducks game since 2009. Oregon ended up winning 41-20, easily going over.

As Darryn points out in the comments section below, La Tech covered the closing number of -11.5, scoring 14 in the final 1:20 of the game, including a 37 yard pick-6 with :36 to go.

Bad Beats on the Total:

UMass/Appalachian State total closed 56.5. The game was tied 20-20 going into overtime and UMass ended up winning 30-27, sending the game over by a half-point.

Visit our Free Live Odds page for Week 10 openers, major injuries, betting percentages and more.

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

1 Comment
  • Darryn Price
    October 29, 2017 at 8:51 am

    LaTech covered the number, scoring 14 in the final minute, including a 37 yard pick 6 with :36 to go.

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