2016 NFL Coach of the Year Odds

More than four months before the start of the season, the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com released their odds for the Coach of the Year Award. We should point out that Sportsbook.com is known for taking weeks to pay out their clients, but these odds provided an interesting insight into the top Coach of the Year candidates for this season.

Last year, Carolina’s Ron Rivera captured the league’s highest coaching honor for the second time in three seasons. Prior to the start of the 2015-16 season, Rivera was available at +4000 at 5Dimes and. New England’s Bill Belichick was the preseason favorite at +800.

Earlier this week, TopBet updated these odds with Dallas Cowboys Head Coach, Jason Garrett, listed as the favorite. Led by their dynamic rookies, the Cowboys have vastly exceeded preseason expectations and currently boast a league-best 10-1 record. Before the season, Garrett actually had much shorter odds of being the first head coach fired (+800) than he did of being named Coach of the Year (+2800).

The table below compares the preseason NFL Coach of the Year odds at Sportsbook.com with the current odds at Top Bet.

Coach Team TopBet (11/29) Sportsbk (8/29) Sportsbk (4/29)
Jason Garrett Dallas Cowboys +150 +2800 +3000
Jack Del Rio Oakland Raiders +275 +1500 +2500
Bill Belichick New England Patriots +400 +900 +500
Dan Quinn Atlanta Falcons +1600 +8000 +8000
Andy Reid Kansas City Chiefs +1600 +1400 +1800
Jim Caldwell Detroit Lions +1600 +8000 +10000
Ben McAdoo New York Giants +1600 +5000 +10000
Pete Carroll Seattle Seahawks +2000 +1600 +700
Adam Gase Miami Dolphins +2500 +3500 +10000
Mike Zimmer Minnesota Vikings +3300 +700 +1600
Gary Kubiak Denver Broncos +5000 +4000 +3000
Jay Gruden Washington Redskins +5000 +6000 +10000
Field N/A +500 N/A N/A
Doug Pederson Philadelphia Eagles N/A +3000 +10000
John Harbaugh Baltimore Ravens N/A +3500 +4000
Gus Bradley Jacksonville Jaguars N/A +1500 +3000
Ron Rivera Carolina Panthers N/A +1100 +450
Mike Tomlin Pittsburgh Steelers N/A +1500 +1400
Hue Jackson Cleveland Browns N/A +4000 +10000
Sean Payton New Orleans Saints N/A +5000 +4000
Chip Kelly San Francisco 49ers N/A +5000 +10000
John Fox Chicago Bears N/A +5000 +5000
Bill O'Brien Houston Texans N/A +5000 +6000
Mike McCarthy Green Bay Packers N/A +1200 +1000
Rex Ryan Buffalo Bills N/A +6000 +7500
Todd Bowles New York Jets N/A +2500 +2000
Dirk Koetter Tampa Bay Buccaneers N/A +7500 +6000
Jeff Fisher Los Angeles Rams N/A +7500 +10000
Mike Mularkey Tennessee Titans N/A +7500 +10000
Bruce Arians Arizona Cardinals N/A +700 +600
Marvin Lewis Cincinnati Bengals N/A +3000 +1200
Mike McCoy San Diego Chargers N/A +10000 +10000
Chuck Pagano Indianapolis Colts N/A +4000 +3000

The section below was originally published on April 29, 2016

Historically this award has not necessarily been given to the head coach of the best team, but rather the team with the biggest turnaround from the previous season. For that reason, I think that Oakland’s Jack Del Rio (+2500) is one of the more intriguing options.

As I’ve stated on several occasions, I’m all-in on the Raiders this year. In just his second season, Derek Carr emerged as one of the league’s top young quarterbacks, throwing for nearly 4,000 yards with a 32:13 touchdown to interception ratio. They also have one of the league’s most dynamic receivers (Amari Cooper) and pass rushers (Khalil Mack).

We have already seen early sharp money taking the over on Oakland’s win total, which indicates that I’m not alone in my adoration of the silver and black. I’m expecting a significant regression from the Broncos with Mark Sanchez behind center, which makes the Raiders a sleeper candidate to win the AFC West. Considering that the Raiders haven’t made the playoffs since 2002, Del Rio would likely receive heaps of praise if Oakland wins their division.

Which players do you think are offering value? Do you think that Belichick can win in spite of Brady’s absence? Can Riverboat Ron take home this award for the third time in four seasons? Please leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

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David Solar

David Solar has been the Content Manager at Sports Insights for over four years. He specializes in sports betting analytics and has created several popular data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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