2016 Copa America Odds

The 2016 Copa America consists of 10 teams from CONMEBOL (from South America) as well as 6 CONCACAF teams (from North America, Central America, Caribbean) and is hosted across the United States.

The tournament kicked off with the US losing to Colombia in the opening match of the tournament. Now that we’ve reached the semifinals, both teams are still alive and could possibly meet in the finals if they pull off upsets. Argentina is a pretty big favorite over USA while Chile are slight favorites over Colombia. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for this game for free at our Free Live Odds page.

Below shows the latest odds at 5Dimes to win the 2016 Copa America:

Country June 20
(5Dimes)
June 15
(5Dimes)
June 3
(5Dimes)
May 27
(5Dimes)
May 12
(5Dimes)
March 6
(5Dimes)
Argentina -160 -135 +185 +195 +225 +250
Chile +360 +800 +750 +800 +825 +1100
Colombia +535 +600 +1100 +975 +1050 +1500
USA +1200 +1500 +990 +970 +800 +700
Mexico N/A +635 +990 +1200 +1200 +1400
Ecuador N/A +2000 +3000 +3300 +4000 +5000
Peru N/A +6500 +7000 +6600 +5000 +5000
Venezuela N/A +9000 +11000 +10000 +8000 +8250
Costa Rica N/A N/A +6000 +6400 +5000 +5000
Haiti N/A N/A +85000 +80000 +50000 +50000
Paraguay N/A N/A +8000 +6600 +6600 +6500
Uruguay N/A N/A +940 +930 +950 +1400
Jamaica N/A N/A +22500 +20000 +20000 +20000
Bolivia N/A N/A +25000 +20000 +20000 +10000
Panama N/A N/A +25000 +20000 +20000 +20000
Brazil N/A N/A +570 +470 +400 +350

Mexico received the most money wagered to win the title at William Hill (39%) but they were throttled 7-0 in the quarterfinals against Chile. Chile were my pick to win it at +800 odds and I won’t be hedging now that they’ve reached the semifinals. If they advance to the finals to play Argentina though, then I will definitely consider it.

Below was written prior to the start of the tournament:

No surprise to see Argentina and Brazil as the clear favorites, but interestingly the USA was listed ahead of Chile, most likely due to the “home-field” advantage for the Yanks. Since then, it’s clear that bettors rank both Chile and Uruguay ahead of the Americans.

Below shows the group odds to win from early March along with our value picks to win/advance:

Copa America a and b

The USA are probably overvalued a bit because of playing on home soil, and they’re favorites to win Group A ahead of Colombia. Costa Rica at +500 is intriguing, especially considering what they were able to accomplish in the 2014 World Cup, but both teams will need Colombia to slip up which likely won’t happen.

In Group B, Brazil are the big -400 favorites to win and are priced correctly. However, they’ll be without star Douglas Costa, which has moved their title odds from +400 to +470.

Copa America c and d

Group C is where I think there’s some good value on Mexico +125 to win the group. Uruguay could be without start forward Luis Suarez for the tournament, which would definitely have an affect on the winner of the group.

Group D is the toughest in terms of the top two teams, as Argentina and Chile are the clear favorites to win the group, and are two of the favorites to win the tournament. I don’t believe there’s much value in either to win the group, but I do like Chile at +800 odds to win the tournament.

Group D also has the best odds of producing the title winner at +125. Group A is next at +300, followed by Group B at +350, and Group C at +425.

And below shows the odds for top goalscorer for the tournament, led by the great Leo Messi:

Player June 3 May 23
Lionel Messi +440 +500
Sergio Aguero +750 +700
Gonzalo Higuain +810 +1100
Luis Suarez +1000 +600
Edinson Cavani +1100 +1500
Alexis Sanchez +1450 +1500
Hulk +1800 +1750
Carlos Bacca +2000 N/A
Javier Hernandez +2000 +3000
Gabriel Barbosa +2750 N/A
Abel Hernandez +3000 N/A
Clint Dempsey +3300 +2750
Willian +4000 N/A
James Rodriguez +4000 +7000
Eduardo Vargas +4000 N/A
Oribe Peralta +4500 N/A
Paolo Guerrero +5000 N/A
Philippe Coutinho +5000 +5000
Christian Stuani +5000 N/A
Enner Valencia +5000 N/A
Angel di Maria +6500 N/A
Rafinha +6600 N/A
Arturo Vidal +8000 +7000
Antonio Sanabria +9000 N/A
Jaime Ayovi +9000 +9000
Alvaro Saborio +10000 +10000
Jefferson Montero +10000 N/A
Salomon Rondon +11000 +9000
Bryan Ruiz +11500 +10000
Joel Campbell +12500 N/A
Nelson Haedo Valdez +12500 N/A
Juan Iturbe +12500 N/A
Clayton Donaldson +25000 +25000
Luis Tejada +25000 N/A
Juan Carlos Arce +25000 N/A
Blas Perez +25000 N/A
Kervens Belfort +50000 N/A

At this point Luis Suarez doesn’t appear to be a good bet since he could miss the entire tourney with an injury. Argentina have 3 of the top 4 players on this list (Messi, Aguero, Higuain) but they could be detracting goals from one another. Since I like Chile at +800 to win the Copa America, I’d have to lean towards Alexis Sanchez at +1500 to score most goals.

Another reminder that you can track the latest odds and betting percentages for free over at our Free Live Odds page all summer long.

Are there any sleepers you think could pull off the upset at this tournament over the summer? Will Argentina win their first international tournament since 1993? Feel free to leave comments and thoughts in the space below.

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Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. He can be reached at dan.mcguire@sportsinsights.com.

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