2016 College Football: What Should Bettors Know For Week 13?

In this weekly column, we will summarize key events from the past week, provide bettors with information needed to make smarter college football bets, and help readers determine which teams are offering value.

Quick Hits

  • Lamar Jackson is almost a virtual lock to win the Heisman Trophy. At 5Dimes, Jackson is -11000 to take home the Heisman. However, for those who think someone else can win, you can take the field at +3000.
  • Undefeated Alabama, which is at the top spot in the College Football Playoff Rankings, is the odds-on favorite (-150) to win the National Championship. Keep an eye on Ohio State (+260), whose odds have steadily risen ever since their Oct. 22nd loss to Penn State. The Buckeyes face third-ranked Michigan, who will be their toughest test of the season.

Key Injuries

  • Austin Carr (Head), is upgraded to probable Saturday (11/26) vs. Illinois
  • Jamaal Williams (Foot), is upgraded to probable Saturday (11/26) vs. Utah State
  • Sean White (Shoulder), is questionable Saturday (11/26) at Alabama
  • Wilton Speight (Shoulder), is questionable Saturday (11/26) at Ohio State
  • Eric Dungey (Head), is downgraded to doubtful Saturday (11/26) at Pittsburgh
  • Mason Fine (Arm), is downgraded to doubtful Saturday (11/26) at UTEP
  • Philip Nelson (Shoulder), is not expected to start Saturday (11/26) at Temple
  • Click here for all NCAAF injuries

Key Line Movement

Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh 12:30 PM Eastern: It’s been a rough couple of weeks for Syracuse football. Their starting quarterback Eric Dungey has missed the past two games due to a concussion and he’s doubtful for Saturday’s game. Although they’ll likely face a Dungey-less Cuse team, Pittsburgh is only getting 52% of spread bets.

The graph below displays Pittsburgh’s line movement and shifts in public betting throughout the week.

pitt-line-movement-week-13

The Panthers have consistently received the majority of the spread money since opening. Currently, Pitt is getting 76% of spread dollars and have been essentially since odds were posted. This lopsided action has caused oddsmakers to shift the line one point, moving the Panthers from 23.5-point to 24.5-point favorites.

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Andrew Fine

Andrew is a Sports Betting Specialist for Sports Insights. He can be reached at andrew@sportsinsights.com.

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