Updated Odds to Make the 2016-17 College Football Playoffs

Before the start of the season, we posted odds on which teams would make the 4-team playoff from both 5Dimes and BetOnline. Alabama opened with the best odds to make the playoffs at +150. They were followed by Oklahoma (+175), Ohio State (+190) and Clemson (+200).

Just two years earlier these odds proved prophetic as the four preseason favorites (Alabama, Florida State, Ohio State, Oregon) all advanced to the four-team playoff. That changed last year as three teams with longer odds (Clemson +525, Michigan State +550 and Oklahoma +800) earned a playoff berth.

On November 22, 5Dimes updated their college football playoff odds and the four preseason favorites (Alabama +125, Clemson +155, Oklahoma +175 and Ohio State +195) were all expected to make the playoff. In fact, three of those schools were odds-on favorites including Alabama at a whopping -3000. The following week, some of these odds had moved dramatically.

After defeating Michigan in double-overtime, Ohio State moved from -170 to -3000 to make the four-team playoff. Conversely, the loss caused Michigan’s odds of making the playoffs to drop from +180 to +420.

Oklahoma, who was previously tied for the fourth-best odds of making the playoffs, saw their odds drop from +150 to +1300 despite not playing last weekend. They are currently listed as 11-point favorites against Oklahoma State.

The table below compares the current playoff odds with the preseason odds from 5Dimes.

School Make Playoff (11/30) Miss Playoff (11/30) Make Playoff (11/22) Miss Playoff (11/22) Make Playoff (8/30) Miss Playoff (8/30)
Alabama -11000 +3000 -3000 +1300 +125 -165
Ohio State -3000 +1300 -170 +130 +195 -275
Clemson -490 +330 -410 +290 +155 -195
Washington -260 +180 +150 -190 +500 -900
Wisconsin +360 -540 +195 -275 +2500 -7500
Michigan +420 -650 +180 -260 +240 -320
Penn State +525 -975 +700 -1500 N/A N/A
Oklahoma +1300 -3000 +150 -190 +175 -245
Colorado +1300 -3000 +515 -945 N/A N/A
Oklahoma State +3300 -12100 +700 -1500 +1000 -2000
Florida +20000 -100000 +5000 -20000 +1300 -3000
USC N/A N/A +2500 -7500 +700 -1500

It’s been a great season for the chalk, but there are some potentially big upsets lingering. The Wisconsin Badgers, who were listed at 25/1 to make the playoffs before the season, currently have the fifth-best odds at +360. Penn State, who boasts the seventh-best odds at +525, weren’t even listed as an option during the preseason.

Based on these odds, we can project the most likely playoff matchups along with the lookahead lines from the Golden Nugget.

#1 Alabama (-14) vs. #4 Washington

#2 Ohio State (-6.5) vs. #3 Clemson

There are several conference championship games this weekend which can potentially impact the playoff race. That includes Colorado vs. Washington (-7.5), Virginia Tech vs. Clemson (-10), and Penn State vs. Wisconsin (-2.5). Bettors can view the latest odds and trends for these games by visiting our free college football odds page.

Have any questions for the staff at Sports Insights? Make sure to utilize our live chat or call us directly at 877-838-2853.

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David Solar

David Solar is the Content Manager at Sports Insights. He specializes in sports betting analytics and creating data-driven betting systems. He can be reached directly at david@sportsinsights.com or on twitter at @TheDavidSolar.

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