NFL Postseason Wrap-up

Sports Insights released their annual Power Rankings prior to the start of the NFL Playoffs and it’s always good to go back and analyze the results.  Notice that Green Bay was third in our rankings despite being a 6-seed in the NFC.  If you were to simply bet the higher-ranked team against the spread, you…

NFL Over / Under Betting Trends

We often get a lot of questions about Over/Under picks and why Sports Insights does not offer more of them.  The short answer is because the data for totals does not show the profitability that the data for spread wagers does.  For our philosophy of betting against the public, it just doesn’t work.  Here is…

The importance of 1/2 of a point

We often encourage our users to shop around and find the best line, because it can increase your winning percentage by a few points over time.  This was evident this weekend in the NFL.  Many games could be turned from a loss to a push, or from a push to a win, depending on what…

College Football Line Movement

Here is an early look at some of the key games for week two of college football: Game Starting Line (Home team) Current Line Public Favorite Hawaii @ Army -1.5 -3 Hawaii – 80% Georgia @ South Carolina -2.5 -3 Georgia – 53% Michigan @ Notre Dame -4.5 -3.5 Michigan – 77% Iowa State @…

Betting against the public – NCAA Football

On the first Saturday of the 2010 college football season, it proved to be a good idea to bet against the public again. Betting against the public favorites at a 70% threshold yielded an 8-4 record for games played on September 4th: Michigan-Michigan State – Loss Missouri-Illinois – Win Colorado-Colorado State – Win Washington-BYU –…