NFL Week 7 Betting Recap

- Late last week we published an article detailing why betting against the public on NFL totals is not nearly as lucrative as betting against the public on the spread. – Most lopsided bet Week 7 games: St. Louis (+7) – 19% of spread bets vs. Seattle Oakland (+3.5) – 24% of spread bets vs. Arizona Cincinnati (+3) –…

Betting Against the Public – NFL Totals

The NFL is the most popular sport in the country to watch, and it’s also the most popular sport to bet.  Since a majority of bettors are long-term losers, we have found a betting edge when betting against the public in the NFL.  When we examine these trends, we are always looking at the results…

Week 7 NFL Line Moves That Matter

From the time most sportsbooks open their NFL lines on Sunday evening to the time they close before kickoff the following week, a lot can happen. In fact, many oddsmakers will adjust their lines on a given game several dozen times over the course of the week. This can be done to sync up with the rest of the…

NFL Week 6 Betting Recap

- Following the Colts 33-28 victory over the Texans, the average margin of victory in the Thursday night game this year has dropped from 28.8 to 24.8. – Our past research indicates that home teams and favorites have performed particularly well in primetime games which includes Thursday Night, Sunday Night and Monday Night Football. –…

NFL Week 5 Betting Recap

- This week we saw another blowout in the Thursday Night Football game with Green Bay defeating Minnesota 42-10. The average margin of victory in Thursday games this year is now 29 ppg. – Following New England’s impressive victory on Sunday night, Tom Brady is 26-9 against the spread (ATS) following a loss. He’s also 8-0 ATS when…