2014-15 NFL Playoff Odds

Before the start of this season, we posted a number or articles involving prop bets for the 2014-15 NFL season. In addition to examining NFL Win Totals, Divisional Odds and Futures for the 2014-15 season, we posted odds for all 32 NFL teams to make the playoffs this season at two prominent offshore sportsbooks. Considering the supposed talent discrepancy…

NFL Week 15 Betting Recap

- In Week 15, underdogs went 7-7 pushing their season record to 111-106 ATS. Home teams went just 4-10 ATS in Week 14 dropping them to 106-108 ATS on the season. It was also an awful week for contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 60% of spread bets going 4-10 ATS. – Typically when contrarian betting struggles, sportsbooks…

NFL Projected Wins and Playoff Teams

Original article edited and updated on 12/15/2014 We’re almost through 15 weeks of the NFL season and the playoff picture still isn’t settled.  Prior to the season, we projected wins for every NFL team and compared them to the season win totals at LVH.  We have decided to recalculate our projections with the benefit of actually…

Updated 80-20 NFL Betting System

Although we constantly talk about the value of betting against the public, one of the most popular strategies for bettors is the 80-20 betting system. In the past we’ve discussed how bettors can win at a 57.1% rate by fading large public favorites, but we had not analyzed this system in years and wanted to…

AFC Tiebreakers

Here is a list of all AFC tiebreakers for teams in contention.  The order for tiebreakers is head-to-head, divisional records, then conference records.  For wildcard tiebreakers, it goes head-to-head, then conference.  A full list of tiebreaking procedures can be found here. The Patriots, Broncos, and Colts have been left out of these tables. All three have…