Updated 80-20 NFL Betting System

Although we constantly talk about the value of betting against the public, one of the most popular strategies for bettors is the 80-20 betting system. In the past we’ve discussed how bettors can win at a 57.1% rate by fading large public favorites, but we had not analyzed this system in years and wanted to…

AFC Tiebreakers

Here is a list of all AFC tiebreakers for teams in contention.  The order for tiebreakers is head-to-head, divisional records, then conference records.  For wildcard tiebreakers, it goes head-to-head, then conference.  A full list of tiebreaking procedures can be found here. The Patriots, Broncos, and Colts have been left out of these tables. All three have…

NFC Tiebreakers

Here is a list of all NFC tiebreakers for teams in contention.  The order for tiebreakers is head-to-head, divisional records, then conference records.  For wildcard tiebreakers, it goes head-to-head, then conference.  A full list of tiebreaking procedures can be found here.

NFL Week 14 Betting Recap

- -In Week 14 underdogs went 8-8 pushing their season record to 104-99 ATS. Home teams went just 5-11 ATS in Week 14 dropping them to 102-98 ATS on the season. It was also a so-so week for contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 30% of spread bets going 5-4 ATS. Most bet NFL games: 1. Panthers-Saints…

Early NFL Week 15 Lines

The list below compares the early week 15 lines from Sportsbook.com with the preseason lines from CG Technologies. Note: Sportsbook.com lines are displayed first. Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis (-2.5 | -1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-3.5 | -6.5) Green Bay Packers (-6.5 | -4.5) at Buffalo Bills Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens…

NFL Week 13 Betting Recap

-In Week 13 underdogs went 9-7 pushing their season record to 96-91 ATS. Home teams went 11-5 ATS in Week 13 and are now 97-87 ATS on the season. Contrarian betting was once again profitable with teams receiving less than 50% of spread bets going 9-7 ATS. – On October 10th, Bovada posted a prop bet…