Will Roger Federer Win His 3rd Major of the Year?

Will Roger Federer Win His 3rd Major of the Year?

Roger Federer has turned 2017 into 2007 again, winning both the Australian Open and Wimbledon and looking for this third major of the season at the US Open (and 20th of his career). With usual stars Novak Djokovic, Stan Wawrinka and Milos Raonic not playing, Federer is the clear +150 favorite with Rafa Nadal next at +275.

Here’s a look at the current odds at 5Dimes to win the Men’s US Open:

PlayerAugust 21 Odds
Roger Federer+150
Rafael Nadal+275
Alexander Zverev+800
Andy Murray+900
Nick Kyrgios+1400
Marin Cilic+1600
Juan Martin del Potro+2000
Grigor Dimitrov+2000
Dominic Thiem+2500
John Isner+6600
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga+8000
Tomas Berdych+8000
Sam Querrey+10000
Gael Monfils+10000
Kevin Anderson+10000
Lucas Pouille+12500
Roberto Bautista-Agut+15000
David Goffin+20000
Jack Sock+20000
Gilles Simon+25000
Gilles Muller+25000
Richard Gasquet+25000
Thanasi Kokkinakis+25000
Feliciano Lopez+30000
David Ferrer+30000
Bernard Tomic+30000
Ivo Karlovic+30000
Daniel Evans+30000
Kyle Edmund+30000
Karen Khachanov+30000
Steve Johnson+30000
Mischa Zverev+40000
Philipp Kohlschreiber+50000
Fabio Fognini+50000
Pablo Cuevas+50000
Borna Coric+50000
Andrey Rublev+50000
Daniil Medvedev+50000
Donald Young+50000
Jordan Thompson+50000
Fernando Verdasco+50000
Martin Klizan+75000
Ryan Harrison+100000
Milos RaonicN/A

Even tennis fans who don’t root for Federer have to respect his resurgence this year. A Federer/Nadal final would be a great way to cap off 2017 which has looked identical to both 2006 and 2007 in terms of major winners. In fact, BetOnline even offered a prop bet before the year started on number of majors won for Federer, Nadal and Djokovic:

As you can see, the market was offering 200/1 odds on Federer to win 3 majors. But even more interesting were the -1200 odds on him NOT winning a single major. The market also expected Nadal to go winless this year (-800 odds), and weren’t envisioning Djokovic to go winless (+450 odds).

Here were Federer’s odds to win each major this year:
Australian Open: +2000 (WON)
French Open: +1400 (withdrew prior to tournament)
Wimbledon: +235 (WON)
US Open: +150 (???)

It’s also been a strange year on the women’s side with Serena Williams missing the bulk of the year due to pregnancy, Petra Kvitova’s comeback from injury, and Victoria Azarenka’s injury/personal issues. Garbine Muguruza (+500) and Karolina Pliskova (+700) are the favorites, but it’s a wide-open Women’s US Open field:

PlayerAugust 21 Odds
Garbine Muguruza+500
Karolina Pliskova+700
Elina Svitolina+900
Simona Halep+900
Johanna Konta+1100
Angelique Kerber+1200
Maria Sharapova+1600
Madison Keys+1600
Petra Kvitova+1800
Venus Williams+1800
Caroline Wozniacki+2000
Jelena Ostapenko+2200
Coco Vandeweghe+2200
Sloane Stephens+4000
Agnieszka Radwanska+5000
Svetlana Kuznetsova+5000
Dominika Cibulkova+6600
Belinda Bencic+6600
Kristina Mladenovic+6600
Lucie Safarova+6600
Eugenie Bouchard+8000
Timea Bacsinszky+8000
Daria Kasatkina+10000
Caroline Garcia+10000
Naomi Osaka+10000
Ekaterina Makarova+10000
Ashleigh Barty+10000
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova+10000
Ana Konjuh+12500
Barbora Strycova+12500
Samantha Stosur+15000
Laura Siegemund+15000
Elena Vesnina+15000
Kiki Bertens+15000
Anastasija Sevastova+15000
Carla Suarez Navarro+17500
Roberta Vinci+20000
Sabine Lisicki+20000
Sara Errani+20000
Irina-Camelia Begu+20000
Camila Giorgi+25000
Heather Watson+30000
Timea Babos+30000
Shuai Zhang+40000
Victoria AzarenkaN/A

The US Open begins August 28th and will conclude on September 10th. All Premium and Pro members can track the odds for every match.

Are you hoping for a Federer/Nadal final on the men’s side, or are you backing a longshot to win it?

Dan McGuire

Dan McGuire is the Operations Manager and soccer specialist at Sports Insights. You can find him on Twitter (@ArsenalDMC) and he can be reached directly at dan.mcguire@actionnetwork.com.

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